Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at Cincinnati Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for righty batting average.

The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park.

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Frankie Montas.

Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an advantage today.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.

The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Rece Hinds will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for LHB home runs.

In the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 13.3%.

The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Cal Quantrill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Brenton Doyle has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this year (19.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.3° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The Colorado Rockies have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Nick Lodolo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Recording 95.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Cal Quantrill places him the 90th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Rece Hinds, Elly De La Cruz, Edwin Rios).

Cal Quantrill’s change-up percentage has increased by 14.3% from last season to this one (22.4% to 36.7%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Michael Toglia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Will Benson has a ton of pop (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (34.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn’t generate many whiffs (1st percentile K%) — great news for Benson.

Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Noelvi Marte’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 36.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

The Colorado Rockies projected lineup ranks as the weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Colorado Rockies have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 10.8° mark is among the lowest in baseball this year (#28 overall).

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Will Benson has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.9% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 30% in the last 14 days.

Brenton Doyle has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph mark.

Tuesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Reds Matchup

Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.4-mph mark last season has decreased to 87-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India’s true offensive skill to be a .327, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Michael Toglia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had some very good luck this year. His 36.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.0.

Ranking in the 1st percentile, Michael Toglia has posted a .171 batting average this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Charlie Blackmon in today’s matchup.

Ranked in the 3rd percentile, Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity of 84.6 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.

Charlie Blackmon has hit 8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 13th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Elias Diaz faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elias Diaz in today’s matchup.

Elias Diaz’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81-mph over the past two weeks.

Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.2-mph figure last season has fallen off to 87.8-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Rece Hinds ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rece Hinds is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Cal Quantrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rece Hinds today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .256 rate is considerably higher than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Rodgers today.

Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Rodgers today.

Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 74.4-mph over the last 14 days.

From last season to this one, Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.7% to 8.3%.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 90.4-mph in the past 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Elly De La Cruz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .020 disparity.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, putting up a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .042 disparity.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Cal Quantrill in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Jeimer Candelario’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Jeimer Candelario has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.1°) in the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.

Ezequiel Tovar has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.5-mph in the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.274) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year with his .313 actual wOBA.

Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 14 days.

Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 48.3% to 39.9%.

Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 89.1 mph.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Nick Lodolo is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone today.

The #8 park in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 23rd percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Cal Quantrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar’s 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan McMahon today.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan McMahon has had some very good luck given the .030 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s game.

Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#1-best on the slate today).

Spencer Steer has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 21.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 18.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Will Benson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Will Benson has been pulled from the game early in 34% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage today.

Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) suggests that Noelvi Marte has been lucky since the start of last season with his .313 actual wOBA.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Noelvi Marte ranks in just the 6th percentile with a 3.1° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.

Over the past two weeks, Noelvi Marte’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 25% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10°, Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (4.5° in the past 14 days).

In his last start, Cal Quantrill was on point and gave up 2 ER.

Cincinnati’s 87.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #30 overall.

Will Benson has put up a .270 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 11th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Will Benson has compiled a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

Jonathan India’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (7.9°) is significantly lower than his 12.6° angle last season.

Jonathan India has paced 9.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 18th percentile for power.

Elias Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 10.2% on the season to 4% in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has had positive variance on his side this year. His 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.4.