Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at Cincinnati Matchup Today

Edwin Rios is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Great American Ball Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Edwin Rios will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brendan Rodgers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Will Benson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Over the last two weeks, Will Benson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.3°.

Ryan Feltner was in good form in his last outing and conceded 1 ER.

Considering the 1.45 disparity between Ryan Feltner’s 5.60 ERA and his 4.15 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

Ryan Feltner has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play this year with a .326 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Cincinnati’s 87.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in Major League Baseball: #30 overall.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Noelvi Marte’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 115.6 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Hunter Goodman will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Ryan Feltner in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Recording 92.5 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott places in the 80th percentile.

The worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Andrew Abbott will hold that advantage today.

In his previous start, Andrew Abbott was on point and conceded 1 ER.

Ranking least steep in Major League Baseball this year, Colorado Rockies hitters as a unit have compiled a 10.8° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable standard to study power skills).

When it comes to his home run ability, Michael Toglia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.8% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Brendan Rodgers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Stuart Fairchild pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Brenton Doyle will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nolan Jones has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 14th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Michael Toglia, Nolan Jones, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Ezequiel Tovar).

Considering the 1.55 discrepancy between Andrew Abbott’s 6.94 K/9 and his 8.48 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress in future games.

The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Elias Diaz will have the upper hand today.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle this season (20.3°) is significantly better than his 14.1° mark last season.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Feltner in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nolan Jones has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.7-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

In the last week, Noelvi Marte’s maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

When it comes to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Monday player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Reds Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Rios in the 5th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Placing in the 12th percentile, Edwin Rios sits with a .209 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Edwin Rios has compiled a .086 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

In today’s game, Brendan Rodgers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.4% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Rodgers in today’s game.

Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 73.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 19.7% to 8.5%.

Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 8.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Will Benson is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Benson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 47.6% to 40.9%.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Feltner is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers today.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 21.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 18.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

In notching a .211 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Edwin Rios grades out in the 11th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Tyler Stephenson encounters a tough challenge today.

In the last two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

Tyler Stephenson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.7° figure last year.

In the past week, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Ryan Feltner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte today.

Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Noelvi Marte has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, angling balls between -4° and 26° just 18.2% of the time in the last 7 days.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Hunter Goodman and his 34.1% since the start of last season rank in the 11th percentile by this measure.

Hunter Goodman has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 11th percentile with a 6.73 K/BB rate.

Ranking in the 14th percentile, Hunter Goodman sits with a .168 batting average since the start of last season.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Elly De La Cruz’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Elly De La Cruz’s speed has fallen off this season. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.07 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year. His .350 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan McMahon today.

Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (1° in the past 14 days).

With 7 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Andrew Abbott will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue in the majors today.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Andrew Abbott today.

Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side this year. His 37.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 31.4.

As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Toglia’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 4.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 22nd percentile.

Stuart Fairchild is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage against Stuart Fairchild in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Stuart Fairchild’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

Stuart Fairchild’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 81.7-mph over the last 14 days.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Brenton Doyle has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .336 rate is considerably higher than his .318 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Colorado (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

Ezequiel Tovar has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

Ezequiel Tovar has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .317 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.

In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s skill is quite bad, posting an 8.64 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 1st percentile.

Nolan Jones has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Jones today.

Nolan Jones will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

From last year to this one, Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20% to 8.7%.

In the last 14 days, Nolan Jones’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.7%.

In his last outing, Andrew Abbott struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Andrew Abbott’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.8% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Andrew Abbott has recorded an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Elias Diaz’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.2 mph to 87.8 mph.

In the last 14 days, Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 87.8 mph to 80.4 mph.

In the last two weeks, Elias Diaz’s 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

Elias Diaz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .337 rate is inflated compared to his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeimer Candelario’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 86.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Jeimer Candelario’s 29.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.8%.

As it relates to his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has experienced some positive variance this year. His 26.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.9.

In terms of plate discipline, Jeimer Candelario’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Hunter Goodman sits with a .242 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 1st percentile, Michael Toglia has notched a .167 batting average this year.

Stuart Fairchild has compiled a .277 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 16th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Jonathan India today.

From last season to this one, Jonathan India’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.4 mph to 87.3 mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Noelvi Marte has been lucky since the start of last season. His .321 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289.

Noelvi Marte’s 3.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the league: 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Rios in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.6° mark last year.

Posting a 10.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jonathan India finds himself in the 19th percentile for power.

Ranking in the 17th percentile for power, Jonathan India has hit 9.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Will Benson has put up a .270 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 11th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 19th percentile, Will Benson has put up a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Will Benson has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.