Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at Washington Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an edge in today’s game.

Brendan Rodgers has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

In the last two weeks, Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph in recent games.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

CJ Abrams will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, CJ Abrams has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.9°.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today’s game.

Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Call’s launch angle of late (17° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 9.4° seasonal mark.

Alex Call has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Ezequiel Tovar will have the handedness advantage against DJ Herz today.

There has been a significant improvement in Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle from last season’s 12.3° to 18.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.5 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.

Michael Toglia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (24.7° in the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Toglia grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.

Luis Garcia is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Luis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Luis Garcia’s launch angle from last year’s 4.5° to 8.7° this year.

Over the last week, Luis Garcia’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ezequiel Tovar has posted a .331 BABIP this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

The worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

The #6 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and DJ Herz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.

James Wood is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

James Wood will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Juan Yepez will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 81st percentile, Juan Yepez has posted a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Juan Yepez has posted a .287 batting average this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge today.

Brenton Doyle has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 18.6%.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 20.4°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.7° figure in the past two weeks.

Jordan Beck’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Beck will hold the platoon advantage over DJ Herz in today’s matchup.

Jordan Beck has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jordan Beck’s 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

Jordan Beck has been unlucky this year, compiling a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .052 deviation.

Sporting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Juan Yepez has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an edge in today’s game.

Andres Chaparro will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Andres Chaparro has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .363.

Andres Chaparro has displayed some good exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging 96.9-mph on his flyballs over the past week.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will be in a good position being matched up with 6 batters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this matchup.

Austin Gomber’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (58.8% this year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

With a 0.77 gap between Austin Gomber’s 6.41 K/9 and his 7.18 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see better results in future games.

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Austin Gomber.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.1) provides evidence that Ildemaro Vargas has been unlucky this year with his 2.3 actual HR/600.

Ildemaro Vargas has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85-mph over the course of the season to 89-mph lately.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, James Wood ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last 14 days, Ildemaro Vargas’s 24% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

Jordan Beck’s launch angle of late (25° in the last week) is significantly better than his 17° seasonal mark.

The 3rd-worst projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Washington Nationals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

This year, Michael Toglia’s 17.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

As a team, Colorado Rockies bats have performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 4th-best in baseball.

When assessing his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .251 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz’s true offensive skill to be a .293, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 deviation between that figure and his actual .269 wOBA.

Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 11.2% on the season to 23.5% over the past week.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts DJ Herz in the 88th percentile among all starters in the game.

The Colorado Rockies have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Sam Hilliard, Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Michael Toglia, Jordan Beck).

Grading out in the 83rd percentile, DJ Herz put up a 12.8% Swinging Strike% this year.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Nationals Matchup

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 park in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has fallen off to 5.1% this season.

The #3 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, CJ Abrams encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

In the last week’s worth of games, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Alex Call has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.8-mph over the past week.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.

In the last week, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 16.4% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .321 figure is a fair amount higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s game.

Michael Toglia has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 39.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 32.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Luis Garcia meets a tough challenge today.

In the last two weeks, Luis Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.3 mph to 90 mph.

Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, notching a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .018 gap.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, DJ Herz is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, The Colorado Rockies have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over DJ Herz in today’s game.

DJ Herz’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (55.2% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, James Wood has a tough challenge today.

James Wood has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Juan Yepez’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 82.5-mph in the past week.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brenton Doyle in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will bat from his weak side against Austin Gomber in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 84.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.6-mph over the last two weeks.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 86.8-mph.

Jordan Beck is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Jordan Beck will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Juan Yepez’s launch angle recently (1.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 9.3° seasonal figure.

Juan Yepez has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Yepez has been lucky given the .035 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

The Washington Nationals (20 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams today.

Nationals Park ranks as the #23 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Austin Gomber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Austin Gomber’s 90-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 4th percentile among all starters.

Austin Gomber’s 2189-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.

Alex Call’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.1% to 8.1%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alex Call has experienced some positive variance this year. His .418 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Alex Call has averaged 12.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Over the last 7 days, Jacob Young’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

Andres Chaparro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Chaparro is very slow, ranking in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.6 ft/sec this year.

In the past 7 days, James Wood’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.3%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James Wood has experienced some positive variance this year. His .352 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 10.5%.

Brendan Rodgers has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ildemaro Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph average last year has decreased to 86.6-mph.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ildemaro Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 86.6 mph to 80.8 mph.

In the past 7 days, Jordan Beck’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

Jordan Beck’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 78.4-mph over the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

With a 4.99 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Austin Gomber ranks in the 13th percentile.

Michael Toglia’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Over the last 7 days, Brenton Doyle’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.8 mph to 83 mph.

Despite posting a .335 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very good luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

CJ Abrams’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been lucky given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Jacob Young has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (0.0) suggests that Jacob Young has had some very good luck this year with his 3.0 actual HR/600.

Given the 1.23 disparity between DJ Herz’s 11.13 K/9 and his 9.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.