Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at New York Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Ryan McMahon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year’s 90.8-mph figure.

When estimating his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

In the last 14 days, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

It may be smart to expect better results for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Jose Quintana’s 90-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 5th percentile among all starters.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Elias Diaz will have an advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Placing in the 95th percentile, Francisco Alvarez has put up a .386 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

In the past week, Jeff McNeil’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.7% up to 10%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Over the last week, Charlie Blackmon’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season’s 91-mph mark.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Michael Toglia has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27° figure in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Ezequiel Tovar will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.8) implies that Charlie Blackmon has experienced some negative variance this year with his 8.6 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects D.J. Stewart in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

D.J. Stewart is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez in today’s matchup.

D.J. Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 15th-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.1°, Mark Vientos has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.3° mark in the last two weeks.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Sam Hilliard, Michael Toglia, Hunter Goodman, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Ezequiel Tovar).

The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Ezequiel Tovar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Mets Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 8th-worst stadium in baseball for righty home runs.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brenton Doyle today.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had positive variance on his side given the .050 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.

Brendan Rodgers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has decreased to 77.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 8th-worst stadium in MLB for LHB home runs.

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Ryan McMahon will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order projects as the weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) behind the plate today.

Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.3-mph.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Francisco Alvarez will be in a tough position today.

In the past week, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in the league for right-handed batting average.

German Marquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

By putting up a .276 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.

Brandon Nimmo has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 25.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 20.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against German Marquez, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have a disadvantage today.

Charlie Blackmon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, J.D. Martinez faces a tough challenge today.

In the past 7 days, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.1% down to 0%.

J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93.4-mph average last year has decreased to 90.5-mph.

Michael Toglia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Jose Quintana today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.

Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .265 mark is inflated compared to his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Tovar has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 1st percentile with a 9.39 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

37% of the time that D.J. Stewart has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

D.J. Stewart’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.5-mph figure last season has fallen off to 90-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects D.J. Stewart in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 97.3-mph figure last year has decreased to 94.6-mph.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Elias Diaz ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Out of all starters, Jose Quintana’s fastball spin rate of 2061 rpm is in the 10th percentile this year.

Jose Quintana has put up a 7.8% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

Ranking in the 21st percentile, Jose Quintana has compiled an 18.8% Strikeout% this year.

Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .311 rate is inflated compared to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a .285 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar is positioned in the 25th percentile.