
COL @ ARI





Todays Game 2 Matchup Details
Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 13th
2024-08-13 21:40:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Colorado at Arizona Game 2 Matchup Today
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the most favorable hitting conditions of all games today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Austin Gomber.
Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Austin Gomber today.
The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Austin Gomber.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Randal Grichuk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today’s game.
Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
The #2 field in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
The Colorado Rockies have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a horrible pitch framer.
The #2 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
When it comes to his home run ability, Michael Toglia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.5 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.
In the past week, Michael Toglia has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.1°.
Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Hunter Goodman will have an edge in today’s game.
Hunter Goodman has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .259 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Ezequiel Tovar, Sam Hilliard, Hunter Goodman, Brenton Doyle).
Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Kevin Newman will have an edge in today’s game.
Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an edge in today’s matchup.
In the past week, Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph lately.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 13.9% on the season to 31.6% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Geraldo Perdomo has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 14.7% in the last two weeks.
Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Because of his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will benefit from going up against 8 batters in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side today.
Austin Gomber’s curveball utilization has increased by 5.1% from last year to this one (16.8% to 21.9%) .
With a 0.81 discrepancy between Austin Gomber’s 6.43 K/9 and his 7.24 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see better results going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.310 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .331 wOBA this year.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, Hunter Goodman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .184 rate is considerably lower than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Ezequiel Tovar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this year (18.6°) is a considerable increase over his 12.3° mark last season.
Tuesday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Rockies vs D-Backs Matchup
In today’s matchup, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (87th percentile).
Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 12°, Josh Bell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.2°) in the last two weeks.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Bell has been very fortunate this year. His .314 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.
Placing in the 23rd percentile, Josh Bell sports a .269 BABIP this year.
Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.
Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.3-mph in the past 7 days.
In the last two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.2%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.277) suggests that Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year with his .326 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
With a .162 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Geraldo Perdomo is positioned in the 12th percentile.
Chase Field projects as the #29 ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Brenton Doyle has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Despite posting a .337 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has been very fortunate given the .040 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
Sporting a 3.74 K/BB rate this year, Brenton Doyle has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Herrera ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Herrera is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Jose Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 87.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84-mph in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Elias Diaz is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elias Diaz today.
Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph average last season has decreased to 88-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Jake McCarthy will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive skill to be a .306, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .052 difference between that mark and his actual .358 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
The 2nd-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Because of his reverse platoon split, Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the advantage matching up with 7 hitters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in this matchup.
Eduardo Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Eduardo Rodriguez in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Toglia today.
Randal Grichuk has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Eduardo Rodriguez to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
Michael Toglia’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 92.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 90.1-mph over the past 14 days.
Today, Brendan Rodgers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (94th percentile).
Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Brendan Rodgers’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.9°) is considerably worse than his 8.1° angle last year.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Rodgers has had positive variance on his side this year with his .319 actual wOBA.
As it relates to plate discipline, Brendan Rodgers’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.96 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 19th percentile.
Hunter Goodman is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Hunter Goodman has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 8th percentile with a 10.42 K/BB rate.
Chase Field ranks as the #22 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Kevin Newman is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Kevin Newman has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Kevin Newman’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 85.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.4-mph over the last 14 days.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the past 14 days.
In terms of plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.46 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 13th percentile.
Checking in at the 10th percentile, Hunter Goodman has notched a .208 BABIP since the start of last season.
The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Ryan McMahon will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan McMahon today.
Ryan McMahon has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon’s true offensive talent to be a .314, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.7% underlying K%.
Elias Diaz, the Rockies’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Gomber in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) implies that Geraldo Perdomo has had positive variance on his side this year with his .289 actual batting average.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Elias Diaz ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
