Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at Arizona Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for LHB base hits.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.

The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt… and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Michael Toglia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 91-mph EV.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB BABIP.

Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his home run ability, Michael Toglia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Over the past 7 days, Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

There has been a significant improvement in Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle from last year’s 12.3° to 18.7° this year.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Charlie Blackmon will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 25%.

As it relates to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.

Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Pfaadt in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The Colorado Rockies have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Cave, Michael Toglia, Ezequiel Tovar, Ryan McMahon, Brenton Doyle).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Brandon Pfaadt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball velocity over his last 3 GS (94.2 mph) has been quite a bit higher than than his seasonal rate (93.1 mph).

Out of all SPs, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2555 rpm is in the 97th percentile this year.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today… and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

Kris Bryant’s launch angle this season (18.6°) is considerably better than his 14.2° figure last year.

Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Jake Cave will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Jose Herrera has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 2.19 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

Kris Bryant’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 17.9% on the season to 23.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Kris Bryant has had bad variance on his side this year. His 7.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 12.3.

Over the last 14 days, Jake Cave’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.

Jake Cave’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

Ryan McMahon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.0) provides evidence that Geraldo Perdomo has suffered from bad luck this year with his 2.9 actual HR/600.

Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph recently.

Monday player match stat slumps with Rockies vs D-Backs Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 9th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Michael Toglia’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95.4 mph to 90.4 mph.

Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Brenton Doyle will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

In today’s game, Brenton Doyle is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (83rd percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive skill to be a .297, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .040 deviation between that mark and his actual .337 wOBA.

Sporting a 3.74 K/BB rate this year, Brenton Doyle has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Jake McCarthy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 88.5-mph mark last season has dropped to 86.2-mph.

As it relates to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side this year. His 41.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 32.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Elias Diaz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Elias Diaz will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elias Diaz today.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 9%.

Over the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s 24.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34%.

Corbin Carroll has compiled a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had some very good luck given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive ability to be a .350, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .049 difference between that figure and his actual .399 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Herrera in the 1st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Herrera is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Chase Field projects as the #29 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Herrera will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.

Jose Herrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Eugenio Suarez meets a tough challenge today.

By putting up a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 24th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Cal Quantrill today.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year. His .327 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.

In today’s matchup, Charlie Blackmon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).

Charlie Blackmon will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Charlie Blackmon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last year has fallen off to 84.1-mph.

Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Brendan Rodgers will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Brendan Rodgers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Brendan Rodgers’s launch angle in recent games (-9° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 4.8° seasonal figure.

Brendan Rodgers’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (3.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.1° figure last season.

When estimating his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon’s true offensive ability to be a .313, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .019 difference between that figure and his actual .332 wOBA.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Cal Quantrill today.

Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Ketel Marte’s 21.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.6) implies that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his 36.4 actual HR/600.

Jose Herrera, the D-Backs’s expected catcher today, profiles as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 5th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Brandon Pfaadt’s sinker rate has risen by 11.6% from last year to this one (9.9% to 21.5%) .

Ryan McMahon’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Josh Bell’s launch angle in recent games (4.7° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 12° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) implies that Josh Bell has had positive variance on his side this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

Josh Bell has notched a .266 BABIP this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kris Bryant is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Kris Bryant will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Kris Bryant hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kris Bryant in today’s matchup.

Kris Bryant has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph dropping to 78.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Jake Cave is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

This year, Jake Cave has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cave in today’s game.

Jake Cave’s launch angle this season (6.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.1° figure last season.

By putting up a 10.34 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 0th percentile.

In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year. His .390 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .361.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Corbin Carroll has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.2°) in the past two weeks.