Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cincinnati at Washington Matchup Today

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures on the slate today at 85, °.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Frankie Montas today.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage today.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Posting a .316 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jeimer Candelario finds himself in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Steer will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Elly De La Cruz has a ton of pop (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin doesn’t generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

Luis Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Juan Yepez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .435.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage today.

Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Cincinnati Reds with a 24.7% underlying K%.

Patrick Corbin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Santiago Espinal has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 2.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Rece Hinds will have an edge in today’s game.

Rece Hinds has big-time HR ability (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (38.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin has a pitch-to-contact profile (0th percentile K%) — great news for Hinds.

Rece Hinds has been hot of late, compiling a a 31.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jonathan India will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.

LaVictor Lipscomb has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage today.

LaVictor Lipscomb has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.7-mph.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Cincinnati’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #30 overall.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Notching a 96.2-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days, Rece Hinds has been in great form in recent games.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Frankie Montas in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage today.

CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage today.

Luis Garcia has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93.1-mph in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle this season (10.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 3.4° figure last year.

Jeimer Candelario’s launch angle recently (19° over the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 13.4° seasonal figure.

Jeimer Candelario and his 16.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 86th percentile, among the highest in the league this year.

Friday player match stat slumps with Reds vs Nationals Matchup

The 2nd-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Washington Nationals.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Washington Nationals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Washington Nationals hitters collectively grade out 30th- in MLB for power this year when using their 5.6% Barrel%.

Washington’s 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #30 squad in the league this year by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Juan Yepez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Juan Yepez has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 84.9-mph on his flyballs.

Juan Yepez has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .319 mark is considerably higher than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.8% to 39.4%.

Grading out in the 4th percentile, Santiago Espinal sports a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Santiago Espinal sports a .211 BABIP this year.

In the past week’s worth of games, James Wood’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 95.9 mph to 90.5 mph.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

From last year to this one, Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.3% to 40.9%.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has notched a .259 BABIP this year.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeimer Candelario in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 38.3% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.304) suggests that Jeimer Candelario has been lucky this year with his .323 actual wOBA.

Jeimer Candelario’s 86.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league this year: 16th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario is in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.3% rate this year).

CJ Abrams’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 47.5% on the season to 28.6% in the last 7 days.

CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, compiling a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .039 gap.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.8) implies that Jeimer Candelario has had some very good luck this year with his 27.3 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Spencer Steer’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 82.7-mph over the past 7 days.

In the last 7 days, Spencer Steer’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

As it relates to his home runs, Spencer Steer has been lucky this year. His 22.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will bat from his weak side (0) today against Patrick Corbin, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .027 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Luis Garcia is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Over the past week, Luis Garcia’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Luis Garcia has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 24th percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.

Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Austin Slater has been pinch hit for 62% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Slater in today’s matchup.

Austin Slater has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has dropped to 4.4% this season.

Austin Slater’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.1-mph EV last season has lowered to 88.8-mph.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Patrick Corbin in the 12th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have 9 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.2) provides evidence that Santiago Espinal has been lucky this year with his 16.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Rece Hinds is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rece Hinds in today’s game.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.4-mph average last year has dropped to 87.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India’s true offensive talent to be a .330, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .024 difference between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.

As it relates to his home run talent, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LaVictor Lipscomb is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will be in a tough position today.

LaVictor Lipscomb’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 7.7% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

LaVictor Lipscomb has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) over the past two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Patrick Corbin’s overall pitching ability is in the 3rd percentile among all starters in the league currently.

The Cincinnati Reds have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 16.7° mark is among the highest in the game this year (#1 overall).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Stephenson ranks in just the 17th percentile with a 8.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Frankie Montas will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Young today.

Over the last 14 days, Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 84.7 mph to 79.8 mph.

Over the last week, Jacob Young’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.7%.

Frankie Montas will hold the platoon advantage against Lane Thomas today.

In the last 7 days, Lane Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Over the past two weeks, Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89.1 mph to 78.7 mph.

Lane Thomas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 13.9% on the season to 8.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph mark last year has fallen to 86.4-mph.

In the last week’s worth of games, Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 86.4 mph to 81.6 mph.

Using Statcast data, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 10th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .272.

In the last two weeks, Jacob Young has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jesse Winker’s launch angle recently (3.2° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12.4° seasonal figure.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9.6%.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesse Winker has been very fortunate given the .029 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

CJ Abrams’s launch angle lately (4.8° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 14.9° seasonal mark.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13°, Luis Garcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly recently (8° in the past 14 days).

With a .251 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 6th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rece Hinds ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 7th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Sporting a 3.64 K/BB rate this year, Jeimer Candelario has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

By putting up a .271 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer is ranked in the 25th percentile.