Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cincinnati at Atlanta Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When assessing his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB batting average.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

This game is forecasted to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (88%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Austin Slater will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 park in the game for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Marcell Ozuna projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.

Travis d’Arnaud is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Noelvi Marte will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Rece Hinds will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Among all major league parks, Truist Park’s CF dimensions are the shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Eddie Rosario will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.4-mph.

Last year, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 9°.

Stuart Fairchild will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today’s game… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

In the last two weeks, Rece Hinds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Rece Hinds’s maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Noelvi Marte has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 85.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has experienced some negative variance this year. His .257 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Jeimer Candelario’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

In the past week, Jeimer Candelario’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph of late.

Zack Short hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Zack Short will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Zack Short’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 20.5%.

When assessing his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year. His 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #4 venue in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Travis d’Arnaud will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, Travis d’Arnaud is in the 77th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 23.900.

Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently when assessing his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Recording 96.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Chris Sale ranks in the 94th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds (26% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone group of hitters of the day.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Chris Sale will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Chris Sale has gone to his four-seam fastball 5.2% less often this year (37.9%) than he did last year (43.1%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Jonathan India will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle from last year’s 14.1° to 20° this year.

Tuesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Reds vs Braves Matchup

Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Among all parks, Truist Park’s LF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Austin Slater has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has dropped off to 4.1% this year.

There has been a decrease in Austin Slater’s average exit velocity this year, from 91.1 mph last year to 88.8 mph now, Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.3°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-18°) over the last 14 days.

Sporting a .269 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer is positioned in the 24th percentile.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Duvall in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Adam Duvall is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.9% rate (100th percentile).

Adam Duvall’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Adam Duvall’s launch angle this year (22.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 28.5° mark last year.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonathan India in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

Jonathan India has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 70.4-mph in the last week.

In the past 7 days, Jonathan India’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive skill to be a .351, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .059 disparity between that mark and his actual .410 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.6) suggests that Spencer Steer has been very fortunate this year with his 21.9 actual HR/600.

Jarred Kelenic has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Jarred Kelenic has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Over the past week, Jarred Kelenic’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Posting a 4.05 K/BB rate this year, Jarred Kelenic has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Travis d’Arnaud will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Travis d’Arnaud’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.9% to 13.5%.

Travis d’Arnaud’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.49 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Travis d’Arnaud’s true offensive ability to be a .308, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 disparity between that figure and his actual .335 wOBA.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 10.9% on the season to 5% over the last 14 days.

Noelvi Marte has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last two weeks.

Noelvi Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .261 mark is considerably higher than his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 5th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Rece Hinds is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Rece Hinds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Ranking in the 16th percentile, Tyler Stephenson sports a .253 BABIP this year.

Eddie Rosario’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Eddie Rosario has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time.

Placing in the 3rd percentile, Eddie Rosario has notched a .242 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Placing in the 1st percentile, Eddie Rosario has put up a .209 BABIP this year.

With a 4.5 K/BB rate this year, Eddie Rosario has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Orlando Arcia has notched a .239 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 1st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Stuart Fairchild is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Stuart Fairchild pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Stuart Fairchild will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Stuart Fairchild has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .227 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .211 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 18th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .282.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rece Hinds ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) provides evidence that Tyler Stephenson has been lucky this year with his 23.0 actual HR/600.

Noelvi Marte has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .219 rate is inflated compared to his .179 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 18.3% on the season to 25% over the past week.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jeimer Candelario’s talent is quite weak, posting a 3.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 24th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario has put up a .263 BABIP this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

In terms of his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has had some very good luck this year. His 26.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Short in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Zack Short is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Zack Short has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Short in today’s matchup.

Zack Short has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.2% rate last year has lowered to 2.3% this year.

Stuart Fairchild has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 18.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 14.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past week, Matt Olson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.7-mph mark last season has fallen off to 91.4-mph.

In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Olson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Matt Olson has posted a .220 batting average this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will bat from his worse side (0) today against Chris Sale… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Elly De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 93.8 mph to 81.4 mph.

Elly De La Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 15.4% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

From last season to this one, Jarred Kelenic’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 53.3% to 46.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Short in the 2nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The Cincinnati Reds have 9 hitters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 5th-best SP in MLB right now.

Chris Sale was on point in his last start and allowed 1 ER.