Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cincinnati at Toronto Matchup Today

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In MLB, Rogers Centre’s centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, T.J. Friedl will have the upper hand today.

This season, T.J. Friedl has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.8 mph compared to last year’s 86.7 mph mark.

T.J. Friedl has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

In the past week, Spencer Steer’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.93 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

Over the last 14 days, Jeimer Candelario’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph lately.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 17.6% on the season to 36.4% over the last week.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last year to 13.7% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Jonathan India has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Tyler Stephenson has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 15.6% over the last two weeks.

Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive skill to be a .291, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .227 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Ty France has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.2° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 42.9% on the season to 54.5% in the past two weeks.

Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today’s game.

By putting up a .333 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley is ranked in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kevin Gausman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Compared to average, Kevin Gausman has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 8.9 adjusted pitches each outing.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Rogers Centre projects as the #8 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Monday player match stat slumps with Reds vs Blue Jays Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #24 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest average fence height in the majors.

This matchup is projected to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst venue in the game for RHB batting average.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s game.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game.

Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ty France is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage against Ty France today.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .026 disparity.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for T.J. Friedl in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, T.J. Friedl has experienced some positive variance this year. His 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.3.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeimer Candelario in today’s matchup.

Kevin Gausman’s change-up rate has dropped by 5.2% from last season to this one (38.4% to 33.2%) .