Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Boston at Los Angeles Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best ballpark in the league for righty home runs.

In MLB, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.

Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the best field in the league for LHB home runs.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kutter Crawford in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the league.

Tripp Gibson profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today’s game.

Kutter Crawford’s 2489-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Ranking in the 78th percentile, Kutter Crawford notched a 12.4% Swinging Strike% this year.

Kutter Crawford has compiled a 25.3% Strikeout% this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Dominic Smith has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 35° angle in the past 7 days.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The underlying talent of the Boston Red Sox projected lineup today (.311 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .322 wOBA this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB.

Will Smith is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Kike Hernandez’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.8 mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jamie Westbrook will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton in today’s game.

Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle this year (8.3°) is quite a bit better than his 3.9° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Barnes (the Dodgers’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.

Jarren Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today’s game.

Austin Barnes will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hamilton, Tyler O’Neill, Romy Gonzalez).

James Paxton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

James Paxton has relied on his curveball 9.2% more often this year (28.5%) than he did last season (19.3%).

David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 52.9% on the season to 70.6% over the past two weeks.

David Hamilton is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (52.9% rate this year).

Posting a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Andy Pages will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Chris Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Red Sox vs Dodgers Matchup

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela today.

Ceddanne Rafaela has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 73.1-mph in the last week.

Hitting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, Jarren Duran meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran today.

Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, Dominic Smith will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dominic Smith in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Dominic Smith ranks in the 25th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .294.

By putting up a .212 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Dominic Smith is ranked in the 9th percentile.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle in recent games (-1.2° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.5° seasonal figure.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.7% to 42.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kutter Crawford to throw 84 pitches in this game (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kutter Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Over the past week, Andy Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Miguel Rojas has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Rojas today.

In today’s matchup, Miguel Rojas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (92nd percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

In the last week, Tyler O’Neill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.6% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast metrics, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 10th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .215.

Rob Refsnyder has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rob Refsnyder today.

There has been a significant decline in Rob Refsnyder’s launch angle from last season’s 11.6° to 8.4° this year.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.1-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.2-mph.

Connor Wong has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 77.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Connor Wong’s launch angle of late (-6° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 13.5° seasonal figure.

By putting up a 3.63 K/BB rate this year, Connor Wong has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.

The 8.8% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox makes them the #8 offense in the league this year by this standard.

Boston Red Sox hitters as a group grade out 6th- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Will Smith will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Will Smith who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kutter Crawford.

Over the last week, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 34.4% on the season to 14.3% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Kike Hernandez today.

Kike Hernandez has notched a .244 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kike Hernandez has compiled a .200 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

James Paxton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rafael Devers in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 19th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Chris Taylor is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Taylor today.

Chris Taylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

In the past week, Chris Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 91.7 mph to 85.6 mph.

With a .276 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Ceddanne Rafaela finds himself in the 13th percentile for offensive skills.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, David Hamilton ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, David Hamilton encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

11% of the time that Gavin Lux has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

In the last two weeks, Gavin Lux’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.9%.

Over the past two weeks, Gavin Lux has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gavin Lux grades out in the 8th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .271.

Gavin Lux ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (10.9% rate this year).

This year, Romy Gonzalez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Today, Romy Gonzalez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (96th percentile).

Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Romy Gonzalez ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 5° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

Romy Gonzalez has recorded a .262 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Chris Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Jamie Westbrook’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jamie Westbrook is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jamie Westbrook in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Gavin Lux is in the 4th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 5.100.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

James Paxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masataka Yoshida in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has decreased to 85.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle recently (1.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 8.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jason Heyward is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

In today’s matchup, Jason Heyward is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).

Sporting a .347 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Dominic Smith grades out in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Barnes in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Austin Barnes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Austin Barnes has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Austin Barnes meets a tough challenge today.

Austin Barnes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.4-mph average last season has dropped off to 83.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects James Paxton in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Kike Hernandez has averaged 5.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kike Hernandez’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 24th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts James Paxton in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

James Paxton wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last outing and notched 1 Ks.

James Paxton’s fastball spin rate has decreased 118 rpm this year (2090 rpm) below where it was last season (2208 rpm).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

Compared to their .337 overall projected rate, the .324 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.

Kutter Crawford was firing on all cylinders in his last start and gave up 0 ER.

In the last two weeks, David Hamilton’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 86.7 mph to 75.6 mph.

Miguel Rojas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jamie Westbrook ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).