Rays vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 30th

Rays vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 30th

TB @ NYY

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 30th
30/07/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Will Warren in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Among all starting pitchers, Will Warren’s fastball spin rate of 2574 rpm is in the 100th percentile this year.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Will Warren has notched a 26.2% Strikeout% this year.

In his previous GS, Zack Littell was on point and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Zack Littell has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.96 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.82 — a 0.86 K/9 difference.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Yankees Series Game 3

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92,°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Will Warren has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.9% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

With a 1.21 difference between Will Warren’s 10.66 K/9 and his 9.46 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Littell in the 18th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Zack Littell’s slider usage has dropped by 5.1% from last season to this one (39.9% to 34.8%) .

Zack Littell’s 91.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starters.

Out of all starting pitchers, Zack Littell’s fastball spin rate of 2012 rpm is in the 6th percentile this year.

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