Rays vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 28th

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Rays vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 28th

TB @ BAL

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 28th
28/06/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Orioles Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in MLB.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Zack Littell is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.

Zack Littell’s 91.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph decline from last year’s 92.4-mph figure.

Among all starters, Zack Littell’s fastball spin rate of 2011 rpm ranks in the 5th percentile this year.

Zack Littell was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Given the 0.96 discrepancy between Zack Littell’s 6.08 K/9 and his 7.05 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in the future.

Out of all starting pitchers, Zach Eflin’s fastball velocity of 91 mph ranks in the 19th percentile this year.

Zach Eflin’s 2169-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 20th percentile out of all SPs.

Zach Eflin has notched a 5.66 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Considering the 0.73 discrepancy between Zach Eflin’s 6.20 K/9 and his 6.92 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression going forward.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Orioles Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst stadium in baseball for walks.

In his previous start, Zack Littell was on point and allowed 1 ER.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zack Littell must realize this, because he has used his secondary offerings a lot this year: 61.6% of the time, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Checking in at the 97th percentile, Zack Littell has compiled a 5.67 K/BB rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Littell in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Zack Littell has posted a 9.1% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #5 HR venue among all parks — today.

Zach Eflin turned in a great performance in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.

Zach Eflin’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (69.9% compared to 62.7% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Zach Eflin has been unlucky this year, compiling a 5.46 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.26 — a 1.2 disparity.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zach Eflin in the 24th percentile among all starters in the majors.

In his last GS, Zach Eflin wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

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