Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Tampa Bay at St. Louis Game 2 Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all parks.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today.

Jose Caballero has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.6-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.5° angle in the past 7 days.

Tommy Pham’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.

Checking in at the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .354 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jose Siri is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jose Siri has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 96.7-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s game.

Over the past week, Taylor Walls’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 11.1%.

Josh Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 94.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras has notched a .373 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph of late.

Using Statcast data, Yandy Diaz grades out in the 81st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.

Projected catcher Willson Contreras grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Erick Fedde conceded a colossal 5 earned runs in his last start.

Erick Fedde has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 3.34 rate is deflated compared to his 3.93 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

In the last week, Christopher Morel’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 28.6%.

Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Over the last week, Nolan Arenado’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Masyn Winn has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 87.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

Tallying 92.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Taj Bradley checks in at the 77th percentile.

Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16.3°) is considerably better than his 12.6° figure last season.

Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year, posting a .232 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .049 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Christopher Morel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB’s 11th-best home run batter.

Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 94th percentile among all starters in the league.

Taj Bradley has gone to his change-up 14.4% more often this year (28.3%) than he did last year (13.9%).

Taj Bradley’s 95.6-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 91st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Jose Siri’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Siri has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 94-mph average.

There has been a significant improvement in Tommy Pham’s launch angle from last year’s 5.4° to 11.1° this season.

Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Erick Fedde has averaged 93.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe).

Erick Fedde will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Erick Fedde must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.2% of the time, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Masyn Winn has put up a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.6°.

Nolan Gorman’s 17.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 97th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Wednesday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Rays vs Cardinals Matchup

Brandon Lowe has been pinch hit for 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #25 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Lowe’s true offensive skill to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .031 disparity between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today.

In the last week, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 91 mph to 76.6 mph.

Last season, Brendan Donovan had a launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 8.3°.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Jose Caballero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Caballero today.

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Tommy Pham will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 91-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

15% of the time that Ben Rortvedt has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

Ben Rortvedt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Siri today.

In today’s game, Jose Siri is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).

Jose Siri will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jose Siri’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 19.7% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Josh Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Josh Lowe has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Alec Burleson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (8.1° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 12.5° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.2) may lead us to conclude that Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance this year with his 27.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will bat from his bad side against Erick Fedde in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 15.7% on the season to 8% over the past two weeks.

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Willson Contreras has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 11.2%.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 4°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9°) in the last two weeks.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (-0.3°) is considerably lower than his 4.9° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Erick Fedde in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) behind the plate in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for home runs.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Christopher Morel is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s game.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Christopher Morel sits with a .219 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.2% rate (99th percentile).

When estimating his home run skill, Masyn Winn ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn today.

In today’s game, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (78th percentile).

Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.1°, Tommy Pham has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.5°) in the past two weeks.

Taj Bradley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

With a 1.17 disparity between Taj Bradley’s 2.71 ERA and his 3.88 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Taj Bradley has posted a .245 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 43.9% on the season to 34.3% in the past 14 days.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for homers.

Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 88.3-mph in the last two weeks.

Paul Goldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Walls ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91-mph average last year has fallen off to 88.4-mph.

The #8 venue in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Considering the 0.64 deviation between Taj Bradley’s 10.74 K/9 and his 10.10 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in future games.

By putting up a 4.75 K/BB rate this year, Jose Siri has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.8-mph average last year has decreased to 85.5-mph.

Posting a 4.25 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Gorman has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.7-mph figure last season has lowered to 87.2-mph.

Placing in the 20th percentile, Erick Fedde recorded an 8.9% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle lately (6.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 14° seasonal mark.

Over the past week, Jose Caballero’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.