Rays @ Blue Jays Matchup Details

Positives for the Tampa Bay Rays Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.

Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in today’s game.

Addison Barger is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, Junior Caminero sits with a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Junior Caminero has hit 38.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 97th percentile for power.

Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Chandler Simpson will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 86.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 81-mph.

When assessing his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bob Seymour will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Bob Seymour’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph of late.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Extreme groundball bats like Daulton Varsho generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Anthony Santander tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Anthony Santander ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has had bad variance on his side given the .072 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Shane Bieber’s overall pitching talent is in the 90th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.

Generating 17.7 outs per outing this year on average, Shane Bieber ranks in the 93rd percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays projected offense projects as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Shane Bieber in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shane Bieber will hold that advantage today.

Shane Bieber was in good form in his last GS and compiled 9 strikeouts.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

George Springer has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last season to 16.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today.

Andres Gimenez will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Andres Gimenez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Over the last two weeks, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck this year. His .371 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .401.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.3-mph now compared to just 89.3-mph then.

Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Alejandro Kirk grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hunter Feduccia, the Rays’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Adrian Houser’s 93.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.7-mph increase from last year’s 92.1-mph mark.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Adrian Houser has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.8% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle recently (26.4° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 17.7° seasonal figure.

Grading out in the 85th percentile, Ernie Clement has put up a .278 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Josh Lowe has suffered from bad luck this year with his .221 actual batting average.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Lowe has suffered from bad luck this year. His .286 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Hunter Feduccia will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.293) suggests that Hunter Feduccia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .244 actual wOBA.

Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage today.

The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Richie Palacios will have an advantage in today’s game.

Richie Palacios hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Richie Palacios has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.

Jake Mangum is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Over the past week, Jake Mangum’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 8.3%.

Jake Mangum has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph figure.

Jake Mangum’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today

This year, Addison Barger has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest average fence height among all stadiums.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Addison Barger has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Addison Barger’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 43.3% on the season to 26.7% over the last 14 days.

The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Addison Barger’s launch angle of late (-2.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 12.2° seasonal angle.

The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Bieber throws from, Junior Caminero meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Junior Caminero in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 14% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

When estimating his home run skill, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chandler Simpson in today’s game.

Chandler Simpson has been lucky this year, posting a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .010 disparity.

This year, Chandler Simpson’s 0% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

Bob Seymour is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Bob Seymour will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Bob Seymour’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 17.1% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

As it relates to his home runs, Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side this year. His 44.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.1.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daulton Varsho has had some very good luck given the .026 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Adrian Houser today.

Anthony Santander has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has fallen to 4.6% this season.

Anthony Santander’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 93.4-mph average last season has dropped off to 91.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in the game for home runs.

With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Shane Bieber encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Shane Bieber has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .257 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Tampa Bay Rays bats as a group rank 7th- in the game for power this year when using their 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates George Springer’s true offensive skill to be a .361, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .040 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .401 wOBA.

Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Andres Gimenez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 82.9-mph over the past two weeks.

Andres Gimenez has put up a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.7) suggests that Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year with his 34.1 actual HR/600.

Brandon Lowe has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brandon Lowe has had some very good luck this year. His .337 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

In the last 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 6.3%.

Over the last week, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 94.5 mph to 79.5 mph.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Adrian Houser in the 19th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adrian Houser is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least on the slate today.

The Toronto Blue Jays (18.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Given that flyball hitters hold a big advantage over groundball pitchers, Adrian Houser and his 48% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this matchup being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Adrian Houser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,Adrian Houser is an extreme groundball pitcher (48% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #3 HR venue among all parks — today.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over Ernie Clement in today’s game.

Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 80.3-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Lowe in today’s game.

Josh Lowe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Josh Lowe’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79.4-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Feduccia in the 17th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Hunter Feduccia is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hunter Feduccia in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Hunter Feduccia ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run skill, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Nathan Lukes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 24% of the time.

Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

Nathan Lukes has posted a .268 BABIP this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Richie Palacios is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Richie Palacios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jake Mangum has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .295 mark is a good deal higher than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 4.8°, Jake Mangum’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.1° in the past 14 days).

Sporting a 3.39 K/BB rate this year, Jake Mangum has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

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