Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Tampa Bay at Houston Game 3 Matchup Today

When it comes to his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Minute Maid Park ranks as the #5 park in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year’s 94 mph mark.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jose Siri’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Yandy Diaz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph.

Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .027 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez’s launch angle lately (24.1° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 18.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez’s true offensive skill to be a .409, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .029 disparity between that figure and his actual .380 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been unlucky this year. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

Mauricio Dubon will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander today.

Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Minute Maid Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Arrighetti today.

Brandon Lowe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Jon Singleton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 14.3%.

Jon Singleton has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all parks.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today.

Placing in the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .354 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Josh Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .228 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Christopher Morel’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 22.2%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.1-mph of late.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Alex Bregman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jose Caballero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Placing in the 78th percentile, Jose Caballero has posted a .324 BABIP this year.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Jose Altuve will have an advantage today.

Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Spencer Arrighetti has notched a 2.19 K/BB rate this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Yainer Diaz will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 22.7%.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

In notching a .270 batting average this year, Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 77th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Jake Meyers will have an edge in today’s game.

Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Meyers’s launch angle recently (18.2° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40% to 47.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Last season, Brandon Lowe had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.9°.

Jake Meyers has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year’s 86-mph EV.

Posting a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Yandy Diaz has performed in the 80th percentile.

This season, Josh Lowe has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.5 mph compared to last year’s 91.3 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Yandy Diaz has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days.

Alex Bregman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

There has been a significant improvement in Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle from last year’s 9.7° to 13.7° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Arrighetti in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best park in the league for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Rays vs Astros Matchup

Jose Siri is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Spencer Arrighetti will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Siri in today’s game.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz today.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The #8 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Yordan Alvarez will be in a tough position today.

Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-worst park in MLB for righty base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

When estimating his home run ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena’s launch angle recently (2.6° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 8.5° seasonal figure.

In the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Josh Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Taylor Walls will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Spencer Arrighetti in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Rortvedt in today’s game.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage over Christopher Morel in today’s game.

Today, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (84th percentile).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.5) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side this year with his 18.4 actual HR/600.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage over Jose Caballero in today’s matchup.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.

From last season to this one, Jose Altuve’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.9 mph to 90.2 mph.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Tampa Bay Rays offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #25 park in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yainer Diaz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Mauricio Dubon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (93rd percentile).

Generating 14.5 outs per GS this year on average, Spencer Arrighetti places in the 14th percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti’s 5th percentile Walk% (11.3% this year) shows his bad control skills.

Jake Meyers is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

In the last 7 days, Jake Meyers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.3 mph to 77.5 mph.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Caballero today.

Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Tyler Alexander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Singleton in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 21.6% to 11.8%.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s matchup.

Spencer Arrighetti has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.17 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.30 — a 0.87 K/9 gap.

In the past 14 days, Jose Altuve’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Walls ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).