Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Rays Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Among all stadiums, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Evan Carter pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The Barrel% of Evan Carter has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.9% last year to 11.1% this season.

Evan Carter has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .186 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .206 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dan Merzel) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Given that flyball hitters struggle against flyball pitchers, Kumar Rocker (46.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.

Kumar Rocker’s 95.4-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 86th percentile out of all SPs.

Kumar Rocker has put up an 11.7% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Over the last week, Junior Caminero’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 30%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Wyatt Langford’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (18.3°) is a considerable increase over his 11.5° angle last year.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Corey Seager’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Marcus Semien has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 91.3-mph.

Marcus Semien’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.8°) is significantly better than his 13.5° figure last season.

Jonah Heim has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jonah Heim’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph lately.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 42.3% on the season to 85.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.6% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 15th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Kumar Rocker in today’s game… and even more favorably, Rocker has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Given Kumar Rocker’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as the league’s 18th-best home run batter.

Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks.

Jake Burger has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.2-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Burger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 11.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The Texas Rangers have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,Shane Baz has recorded a 5.21 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Ranking steepest in the league this year, Texas Rangers bats as a unit have recorded a 16.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Throwing 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Shane Baz falls in the 76th percentile.

Shane Baz was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and notched 10 strikeouts.

Shane Baz has used his curveball 12.1% more often this season (32.6%) than he did last season (20.5%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 21.3%.

Over the last 14 days, Josh Jung’s 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker today… and moreover, Rocker has a large platoon split.

Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today.

Josh Smith has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jake Mangum will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Mangum is notably fast, checking in at the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec this year.

Because of Kumar Rocker’s large platoon split, Kameron Misner will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Kameron Misner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 20%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Rays Series Game 2

Evan Carter is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

There has been a decrease in Evan Carter’s average exit velocity this season, from 86 mph last year to 82.3 mph now,This year, there has been a decline in Evan Carter’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.73 ft/sec last year to 28.85 ft/sec currently.

The #7 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Alejandro Osuna has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

Alejandro Osuna has been cold lately, notching a 76.2-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kumar Rocker to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 68 pitches.

Given his large platoon split, Kumar Rocker faces a tough challenge facing 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kumar Rocker in today’s game.

Out of all starters, Kumar Rocker’s fastball spin rate of 2150.2 rpm ranks in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 7th-worst field in the game for right-handed batting average.

Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Rocker’s large platoon split.

Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Junior Caminero generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.

In the last 7 days, Junior Caminero’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.2%.

Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6.2°) is considerably worse than his 9.3° mark last season.

Junior Caminero has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 34.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 26.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Wyatt Langford will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Wyatt Langford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the past week, Wyatt Langford’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.4%.

Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 10.7% on the season to 6.7% in the past 14 days.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager today.

Corey Seager’s launch angle in recent games (-3.3° in the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Corey Seager’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 25.34 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.02 ft/sec now.

Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Marcus Semien will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In today’s game, Marcus Semien is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.8% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today’s game.

Marcus Semien has compiled a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Jonah Heim’s BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his bad side (0) today against Shane Baz,Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonah Heim ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Rocker’s large platoon split.

Typically, hitters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kumar Rocker.

Yandy Diaz has posted a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Yandy Diaz sits with a .241 BABIP this year.

Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 91-mph in the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.9) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Lowe has been very fortunate this year with his 29.5 actual HR/600.

Posting a 3.81 K/BB rate this year, Brandon Lowe has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 21st percentile.

In today’s game, Josh Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.2% rate (93rd percentile).

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 8.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 8.5%.

Jake Burger is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Jake Burger will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jake Burger’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 9.21 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 7th-worst park in the majors for BABIP.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous game started, Shane Baz was rolling and gave up 0 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Josh Jung will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Jung today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Jung’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.9 mph to 86.7 mph.

Josh Jung has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jonathan Aranda’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

Jonathan Aranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.2-mph in the last two weeks.

Over the past two weeks, Jonathan Aranda’s 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Jonathan Aranda has been lucky this year, notching a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .064 deviation.

Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Smith in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9°) is considerably worse than his 13.2° angle last year.

In the last 14 days, Josh Smith’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Smith has had positive variance on his side this year. His .327 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .300.

Jake Mangum is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Kumar Rocker… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Rocker’s large platoon split.

Jake Mangum has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Mangum tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Mangum ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Kameron Misner is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

22% of the time that Kameron Misner has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Kameron Misner’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.8-mph over the past week.

Kameron Misner’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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