
TEX @ TOR

Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 27th
27/07/24 15:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Texas at Toronto Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Leo Jimenez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, angling balls between -4° and 26° 58.8% of the time in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today.
Nathaniel Lowe has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB.
Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.
Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Marcus Semien has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.
As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.
In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games.
In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.
Wyatt Langford’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Wyatt Langford has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today’s game.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
Justin Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Justin Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 19.2% on the season to 28.6% over the past 14 days.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
George Springer will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Ernie Clement has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA.
Leody Taveras’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the past week’s worth of games, Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph of late.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year with his .284 actual wOBA.
Spencer Horwitz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has had some very poor luck given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
It may be wise to expect better results for the Texas Rangers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
Kevin Gausman’s change-up rate has fallen by 5.9% from last year to this one (38.4% to 32.5%) .
Rating 5th-highest in MLB this year, Texas Rangers hitters as a unit have compiled a 15.1° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced metric to evaluate power skills).
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Michael Lorenzen’s sinker utilization has spiked by 9% from last year to this one (11.8% to 20.8%) .
When it comes to his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Leo Jimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in the league.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kevin Gausman in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
Compared to league average, Kevin Gausman has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 7.6 adjusted pitches each outing.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
With a 1 difference between Kevin Gausman’s 8.86 K/9 and his 9.86 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Lorenzen has averaged 17.1 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.
Leo Jimenez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time over the past 7 days.
Michael Lorenzen was on point in his last outing and accumulated 8 strikeouts.
Michael Lorenzen’s 2379-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Rangers vs Blue Jays Matchup
As it relates to his home run ability, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Leo Jimenez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Leo Jimenez faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Rogers Centre projects as the #23 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Corey Seager’s launch angle lately (6.5° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 13° seasonal angle.
Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.
Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Michael Lorenzen will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup.
Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.
Over the last 14 days, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.
Despite posting a .377 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has experienced some positive variance given the .056 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jonah Heim is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will bat from his bad side against Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Wyatt Langford will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Daulton Varsho has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.
Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Justin Turner encounters a tough challenge today.
Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.5-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.
Justin Turner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Justin Turner has performed at a clip of 12.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage over George Springer today.
George Springer’s launch angle of late (3.5° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 8.2° seasonal angle.
Checking in at the 12th percentile, George Springer sits with a .248 BABIP this year.
Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.5-mph EV last season has decreased to 89.8-mph.
Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 14.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 8.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Smith today.
Josh Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.7% rate last year has dropped off to 3.4% this season.
When it comes to his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Ernie Clement encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Ernie Clement has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Leody Taveras is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Leody Taveras today.
Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.5°, Leody Taveras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
In notching a 12.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Leody Taveras finds himself in the 22nd percentile for power.
Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.8-mph mark last year has lowered to 85.3-mph.
Based on Statcast data, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 19th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .283.
Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Adolis Garcia will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia in today’s matchup.
Adolis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.4% over the last 14 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Kevin Gausman’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 78th percentile among all starters in the league right now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 9th-worst park in the game for batting average.
Kevin Gausman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Jonah Heim, the Rangers’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
With 7 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Michael Lorenzen should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Leo Jimenez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Josh Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.8-mph figure last year has lowered to 89.5-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Josh Smith has had positive variance on his side this year with his .366 actual wOBA.
There has been a significant decline in Marcus Semien’s launch angle from last season’s 18.7° to 15.5° this year.
Wyatt Langford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.5-mph over the past two weeks.
Power-wise, Wyatt Langford is ranked in the 12th percentile, having paced 8.2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Adolis Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.2-mph figure last year has lowered to 94-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) provides evidence that Nathaniel Lowe has been very fortunate this year with his .335 actual wOBA.
Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
From last season to this one, Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.4% to 10.4%.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Lorenzen in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.8% underlying K%.
