Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Texas at Houston Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.

Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Leody Taveras’s launch angle this season (13.1°) is a significant increase over his 9.9° mark last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year with his .287 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Minute Maid Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 31.2° figure in the past week.

Throwing 96.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Ronel Blanco checks in at the 94th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ronel Blanco will hold that advantage today.

In his previous game started, Ronel Blanco performed well and notched 7 strikeouts.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Because of Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today’s matchup.

Travis Jankowski has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Travis Jankowski has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 87-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 83.7-mph.

Travis Jankowski’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.4°) is considerably higher than his 1.1° angle last season.

Corey Seager projects as the 9th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today’s matchup.

Corey Seager has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.9% seasonal rate to 24.1% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Scherzer in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The Houston Astros have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chas McCormick, Joey Loperfido, Jon Singleton).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jonah Heim (the Rangers’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Adolis Garcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.347) implies that Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck this year with his .305 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Extreme groundball batters like Yainer Diaz are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Extreme groundball hitters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alex Bregman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph.

Alex Bregman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (19.7° over the past week) is considerably higher than his 13.1° seasonal angle.

Jonah Heim has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 41.6% on the season to 64.3% in the past week.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Considering Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Jon Singleton will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jon Singleton can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Jon Singleton will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Chas McCormick’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) suggests that Chas McCormick has had some very poor luck this year with his .206 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the last 14 days, Jake Meyers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph lately.

In the last week, Jake Meyers’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Jose Altuve has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29° figure in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Wyatt Langford has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph average.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.328) suggests that Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

In the last week, Nathaniel Lowe’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.1%.

Travis Jankowski’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 41.7% on the season to 50% over the last week.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today’s game.

Josh Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 39% to 46.6%.

Sporting a .364 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Smith has performed in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Over the past 7 days, Jon Singleton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 12.5%.

The Texas Rangers have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, The #6 park in the league for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Josh Smith has posted a .353 BABIP this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Jeremy Pena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 91-mph.

Josh Smith has recorded a .443 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Over the past week, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 20%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.4° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 16.7% to 20.7%.

Over the last two weeks, Chas McCormick has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 20° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance given the .056 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Yainer Diaz has notched a .293 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Scherzer in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Generating 17 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Max Scherzer checks in at the 81st percentile.

The Houston Astros have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Jonah Heim has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92.4-mph over the last 14 days.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Rangers vs Astros Matchup

Leody Taveras is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In the majors, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -14° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Considering Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

In the past two weeks, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Hitting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Texas Rangers with a 20.7% underlying K%.

Carlos Torres grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ronel Blanco’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (92.8 mph) below where it was last year (93.8 mph).

Out of all starters, Ronel Blanco’s fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm ranks in the 22nd percentile this year.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Yordan Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team playing today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Travis Jankowski is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Travis Jankowski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Considering that groundball hitters have a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Max Scherzer and his 42.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in today’s game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Scherzer in today’s matchup.

Max Scherzer’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this year (92.1 mph) below where it was last year (93.1 mph).

Hitting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Adolis Garcia faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Adolis Garcia’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.2 mph to 94.2 mph.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #22 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because of Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Yainer Diaz has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jon Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Placing in the 19th percentile for power, Jeremy Pena has averaged 9.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Jon Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #22 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jon Singleton’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jon Singleton has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

Chas McCormick is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Chas McCormick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jon Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Batting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Wyatt Langford will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Jankowski in the 19th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Ronel Blanco was on point in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.9°, Wyatt Langford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Smith in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathaniel Lowe today.

The Houston Astros projected batting order profiles as the 5th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Max Scherzer is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Ronel Blanco, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run skill.