Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Pittsburgh at Chicago Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

In the past two weeks, Bryan Reynolds has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB home runs.

Because of Mike Clevinger’s large platoon split, Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.

Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nicky Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nicky Lopez’s launch angle this year (7.7°) is considerably better than his 0.2° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Tommy Pham has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Paul DeJong’s launch angle from last year’s 16.8° to 20.9° this season.

Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Paul DeJong has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.5° mark in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mike Clevinger will have the handedness advantage against Michael A. Taylor in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Clevinger’s large platoon split.

Despite posting a .237 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael A. Taylor has had some very poor luck given the .043 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Andrew Vaughn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Andrew Vaughn has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last two weeks.

Tommy Pham’s launch angle of late (18.6° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal figure.

When assessing his home run skill, Paul DeJong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Jack Suwinski has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago White Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jack Suwinski has a ton of pop (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jared Shuster struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Suwinski.

Jack Suwinski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Korey Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Given Mike Clevinger’s large platoon split, Jared Triolo will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Jared Triolo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Mike Clevinger will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Clevinger’s large platoon split.

Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 46.3% to 52.3%.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 52.3% on the season to 65.8% in the last 14 days.

Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .246 figure is considerably lower than his .299 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 18.8%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has suffered from bad luck this year. His .276 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

In terms of his batting average, Gavin Sheets has been unlucky this year. His .228 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

Given Mike Clevinger’s large platoon split, Joey Bart will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Joey Bart has big-time HR ability (75th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jared Shuster struggles to strike batters out (11th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jack Suwinski has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.2% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the past two weeks.

Jack Suwinski has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 75th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .040 deviation.

Nick Gonzales has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 13.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 23.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.288) provides evidence that Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .252 actual wOBA.

Since the start of last season, Joey Bart’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 75th percentile at 93.7 mph.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Mitch Keller’s cut-fastball utilization has decreased by 5.8% from last season to this one (24.3% to 18.5%) .

Mitch Keller has been lucky this year, notching a 3.40 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.30 — a 0.9 discrepancy.

Mitch Keller has averaged 95.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Luis Robert has put up a .330 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Korey Lee, Paul DeJong, Luis Robert).

Mitch Keller’s 2408-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 78th percentile among all SPs.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Pirates vs White Sox Matchup

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Mike Clevinger) in today’s matchup.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Bryan Reynolds has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 5.6% over the past 7 days.

In the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 94.5 mph to 89.7 mph.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

This year, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 7.5% last year to just 2.4% this year.

From last year to this one, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.6% to 6.3%.

Posting a 5.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ke’Bryan Hayes finds himself in the 4th percentile for power.

With a .258 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ke’Bryan Hayes finds himself in the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nicky Lopez has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Nicky Lopez’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 79-mph in the past 14 days.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 78.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 10.7%.

Tommy Pham has paced 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 11th percentile, Tommy Pham has put up a .150 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Paul DeJong’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Paul DeJong will be at a disadvantage today.

In the last 7 days, Paul DeJong’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Luis Robert has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Luis Robert’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.8% down to 9.1%.

Luis Robert’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 17.6° angle last year.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 18.9% on the season to 9.1% in the past week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.8) suggests that Luis Robert has been very fortunate this year with his 39.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Michael A. Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Michael A. Taylor has struggled with his Barrel%; his 14.2% rate last year has lowered to 8.7% this year.

From last season to this one, Michael A. Taylor’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.6 mph to 94.1 mph.

Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Vaughn in today’s game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andrew Vaughn’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.54 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 25th percentile.

Paul DeJong has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 30.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 22.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a 7.39 K/BB rate this year, Paul DeJong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 2nd percentile.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Considering Mike Clevinger’s large platoon split, Jack Suwinski will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jack Suwinski today.

Jack Suwinski has posted a .256 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

Placing in the 1st percentile, Jack Suwinski sits with a .177 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

This year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

In the past two weeks, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Over the last week, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90 mph to 85.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Korey Lee in the 5th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Korey Lee is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Korey Lee will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Korey Lee’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks, Korey Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.1 mph to 78.7 mph.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.7 mph to 78.1 mph.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (4.5°) is significantly lower than his 12.4° figure last year.

Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 17.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Nicky Lopez’s launch angle lately (0.2° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 7.7° seasonal figure.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

Nick Gonzales has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 4.8% over the past week.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.9-mph in the last 14 days.

Nick Gonzales’s launch angle of late (0.6° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.1° seasonal angle.

Nick Gonzales has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 4.71 K/BB rate.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Lenyn Sosa meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Lenyn Sosa’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

With a 6.66 K/BB rate this year, Lenyn Sosa has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

Over the last 7 days, Lenyn Sosa’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91.6 mph to 80.9 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Bart today.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 10.5% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Joey Bart has been lucky this year. His .331 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 13th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Joey Bart is in the 16th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.6-mph EV last year has fallen off to 88.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

From last season to this one, Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45.5% to 36.8%.

Over the past 7 days, Luis Robert’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.8%.

When assessing his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order grades out as the 2nd-worst of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

With 6 bats of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mitch Keller figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Mitch Keller was in good form in his previous game started and allowed 2 ER.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Jack Suwinski has put up a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past 14 days, Gavin Sheets’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.