Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Pittsburgh at Los Angeles Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.

Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in the league.

Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.5-mph average.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle lately (25.5° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 9.9° seasonal angle.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Because of Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Bryan De La Cruz has hit 24.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 80th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Because of Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Oneil Cruz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Flaherty in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Jack Flaherty has averaged 96.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Jack Flaherty will hold that advantage today.

Jack Flaherty was rolling in his last start and allowed 0 ER.

Jack Flaherty’s slider utilization has jumped by 6.6% from last year to this one (24.8% to 31.4%) .

Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kike Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Posting a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke’Bryan Hayes’s true offensive ability to be a .298, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .034 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .264 wOBA.

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tallying 95.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Mitch Keller ranks in the 91st percentile.

Today’s version of the Dodgers projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .329 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .344 overall projected rate.

In his last GS, Mitch Keller turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.

Out of all starting pitchers, Mitch Keller’s fastball spin rate of 2412 rpm grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today.

Jason Heyward has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 81st percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

With a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is positioned in the 77th percentile.

In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Kike Hernandez’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.6 mph.

In the past week, Kike Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph lately.

Last season, Will Smith had an average launch angle of 12.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.2°.

Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Will Smith has had some very poor luck given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.

Kevin Kiermaier has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year’s 87.4-mph EV.

Last season, Kevin Kiermaier had an average launch angle of 4.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.1°.

Teoscar Hernandez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96-mph.

Over the last 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jack Flaherty… and even better, Flaherty has a large platoon split.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph recently.

Joey Bart has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 20.8% in the last 14 days.

Over the past 7 days, Joey Bart’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97-mph over the course of the season to 108.4-mph in recent games.

Joey Bart’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (21.1° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 13.4° seasonal angle.

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, Jack Flaherty projects as the 11th-best starter in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz).

In his last start, Jack Flaherty was in good form and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Rowdy Tellez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

Rowdy Tellez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 95.2-mph over the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Friday player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Dodgers Matchup

This year, Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Gavin Lux has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 8.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Lux has hit 9.9 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 16th percentile for power.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz today.

Oneil Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 18.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

By putting up a 4.55 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.

In the last week’s worth of games, Shohei Ohtani’s 17.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Given Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.8-mph EV last year has dropped off to 85.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

25% of the time that Rowdy Tellez has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Rowdy Tellez in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez has notched a .293 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 25th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Given Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Bryan De La Cruz will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Bryan De La Cruz has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Bryan De La Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 10.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

Because of Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Joey Bart will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Joey Bart has been lucky this year, putting up a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .057 gap.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs.

Jack Flaherty has been lucky this year, notching a 2.80 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.75 — a 0.95 discrepancy.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kevin Kiermaier is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Kevin Kiermaier has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Posting a .237 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 1st percentile for hitting ability.

Kike Hernandez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kike Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Kike Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 7.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .260 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Kike Hernandez has performed in the 6th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

17% of the time that Miguel Rojas has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Miguel Rojas encounters a tough challenge today.

Miguel Rojas has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today.

Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan Reynolds has had some very good luck given the .016 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 7.5% rate last season has lowered to 1.9% this season.

In the past week, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 20.5% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Will Smith is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Will Smith today.

Will Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 21.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 21st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jason Heyward has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time.

Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Jason Heyward’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 89.3 mph.

Jason Heyward’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (7.1°) is significantly lower than his 12.1° figure last season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .331 figure is inflated compared to his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jack Flaherty has put up a 3.06 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the variables most within a pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Kike Hernandez has posted a .264 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Sporting a .236 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Kevin Kiermaier has performed in the 2nd percentile.

In notching a .320 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Kike Hernandez has performed in the 11th percentile.

Miguel Rojas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.2°, Oneil Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) in the last 14 days.

Considering the 0.21 disparity between Jack Flaherty’s 11.18 K/9 and his 10.97 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform worse going forward.