Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Arizona Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best batter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15% to 18.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB.

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this year (14.5°) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° mark last season.

Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 15.6% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Ryne Nelson will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.

Ryne Nelson’s 94.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 75th percentile among all SPs.

Ryne Nelson has had some very poor luck with his ERA this year; his 4.65 mark is considerably higher than his 3.72 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Ryne Nelson has notched a .321 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Out of every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 2nd-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Jose Herrera will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Ryne Nelson was on point in his previous game started and notched 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 18.9° mark over the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Zack Wheeler has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 8.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

In his previous start, Zack Wheeler turned in a great performance and posted 9 strikeouts.

Zack Wheeler has relied on his change-up 7.6% more often this year (8%) than he did last year (0.4%).

Among all SPs, Zack Wheeler’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph is in the 75th percentile this year.

Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Zack Wheeler projects as the 8th-best starting pitcher in the league currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be best to expect worse results for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

In his last GS, Zack Wheeler turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.4% up to 27.3%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.0) provides evidence that Geraldo Perdomo has had some very poor luck this year with his 3.1 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 89th percentile, Trea Turner has posted a .360 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Alec Bohm has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91-mph.

When assessing his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Eugenio Suarez has paced 23.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Compared to last season, Brandon Marsh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.9% to 21.1% this season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.5° angle in the last week.

Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Posting a 2.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Herrera has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 80th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game.

Friday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs D-Backs Matchup

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.

Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.T. Realmuto today.

J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Trea Turner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Trea Turner has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Alec Bohm meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 13.6% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, compiling a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .029 gap.

Corbin Carroll has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 82.8-mph in the last week.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16.5% to 8.9%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, going from 34.2% on the season to 8.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

Using Statcast data, Corbin Carroll is in the 24th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229.

Josh Bell has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Bell has posted a .265 BABIP this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage today.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 3.3%.

In the last week, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.7 mph to 85.6 mph.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 42.6% on the season to 23.3% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott today.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Jose Herrera, the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zack Wheeler, Geraldo Perdomo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (3.1° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.2° seasonal figure.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.2) implies that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his 33.8 actual HR/600.

Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joc Pederson has been lucky given the .048 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Herrera ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Herrera is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Herrera will bat from his bad side against Zack Wheeler today.

Jose Herrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Jose Herrera ranks in the 18th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .259.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

In the last 14 days, Brandon Marsh’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.3°.

Brandon Marsh has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 19.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 16.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 24th percentile, Corbin Carroll has posted a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 78.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 9th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.

Ryne Nelson’s high usage rate of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Chase Field grades out as the #29 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Zack Wheeler, Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 43.9% on the season to 14.3% in the past week.

As it relates to his home runs, Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year. His 35.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.6.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) provides evidence that Josh Bell has had positive variance on his side this year with his .313 actual wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.

Eugenio Suarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 79.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Bryson Stott has posted a .169 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .387 mark is inflated compared to his .362 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryson Stott has put up a .262 BABIP this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.353) suggests that Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year with his .382 actual wOBA.