Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Arizona Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15% to 18.7%.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kolby Allard in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jordan Montgomery has a pitch-to-contact profile (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Herrera will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Kolby Allard in today’s game.

Jose Herrera will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher today) profiles as a horrible pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Given the 1.13 discrepancy between Jordan Montgomery’s 5.91 K/9 and his 7.04 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and should see better results in future games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Eugenio Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today’s game.

By putting up a .332 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Edmundo Sosa is positioned in the 81st percentile.

Bryce Harper has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kolby Allard in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kolby Allard in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kolby Allard.

Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.4% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage today.

Johan Rojas’s footspeed has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.14 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Trea Turner will have an advantage today.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.6°, Corbin Carroll has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.5° mark in the last 14 days.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

Thursday player match stat slumps with Phillies vs D-Backs Matchup

Among all major league parks, Chase Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Jordan Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 3.6% in the past two weeks.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.3-mph over the last week.

Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 43.9% on the season to 11.1% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 35.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 27.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the worst ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.

Chase Field profiles as the #29 park in the game for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Kyle Schwarber has a tough challenge today.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.

From last season to this one, Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.5% to 13.3%.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Edmundo Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Edmundo Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.7% to 38.1%.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Over the past 14 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.7 mph to 79 mph.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this season (9°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.6° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Herrera in the 1st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jose Herrera is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jose Herrera grades out in the 16th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .252.

Posting a .400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Herrera is ranked in the 6th percentile for power.

Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Josh Bell’s launch angle recently (5.5° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 12.4° seasonal angle.

Josh Bell has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .308 figure is quite a bit higher than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Bell has notched a .226 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Josh Bell has put up a .266 BABIP this year.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Trea Turner’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 83.2-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 83-mph over the last 7 days.

In the past week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 9th percentile with a 4.88 K/BB rate.

Eugenio Suarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 81-mph in the last week.

Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 15.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Eugenio Suarez has recorded a .229 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Jordan Montgomery will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jordan Montgomery was rolling in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

Jordan Montgomery has relied on his curveball 7.7% more often this season (29.9%) than he did last season (22.2%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jordan Montgomery in the 21st percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Montgomery to throw 85 pitches in this game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 9th-worst venue in baseball for strikeouts.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.361) may lead us to conclude that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his .386 actual wOBA.

Edmundo Sosa’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (9.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.6° mark last year.

Corbin Carroll has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Kolby Allard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 8.9%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .312, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .327 this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Kolby Allard was in good form in his previous game started and conceded 1 ER.

Arizona has been the #27 offense in the league when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (14.4% rate this year).

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.9°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) over the past two weeks.

Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, compiling a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .030 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kolby Allard in the 17th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kolby Allard is projected to throw 79 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19% to 10.2%.

Jose Herrera has notched a .211 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Johan Rojas is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Arizona (#3-best on the slate).

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Johan Rojas today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 0th percentile for power, Geraldo Perdomo has hit 0 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) provides evidence that Geraldo Perdomo has experienced some positive variance this year with his .275 actual batting average.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (5.6° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 12.7° seasonal mark.