Todays Game 4 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Arizona Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for RHB base hits.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

This game is forecasted to have the 10th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.

Geraldo Perdomo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today’s game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the league for lefty base hits.

Jake McCarthy will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Herrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez (55% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Cristopher Sanchez’s fastball velocity has increased 2.1 mph this year (93.7 mph) over where it was last year (91.6 mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

Alec Bohm’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In notching a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 86th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.329) suggests that J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck this year with his .298 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 2nd-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in baseball for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15% to 18.7%.

Johan Rojas’s quickness has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.13 ft/sec now.

Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 17.3 outs per start this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Bryson Stott’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (14.5°) is significantly better than his 9.9° mark last year.

In the past 7 days, Bryson Stott’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.3° angle in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Posting a 2.15 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Herrera has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Last season, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Merrill Kelly in the 81st percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Merrill Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Merrill Kelly has used his off-speed and breaking balls 9.2% more often this season (67%) than he did last season (57.8%).

Ranking in the 76th percentile, Merrill Kelly compiled a 12% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Merrill Kelly has recorded a 28.1% strikeout rate since the start of last season.

Sunday Game 4 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs D-Backs Matchup

When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

In Major League Baseball, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.

Over the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 19% to 11.1%.

Chase Field grades out as the #29 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 3%.

Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 94.5 mph to 85.9 mph.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jake McCarthy will be in a tough position today.

Jake McCarthy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Jake McCarthy tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88.5-mph figure last season has dropped to 86.5-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Herrera ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Herrera is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Typically, batters like Jose Herrera who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Jose Herrera has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 81.3-mph dropping to 79.2-mph over the last 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.1-mph over the last week.

By putting up a 4.66 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 10th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today.

Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the last 14 days, Trea Turner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Trea Turner has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the past two weeks.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy group of batters on the slate today.

Lance Barksdale profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-worst ballpark in baseball for strikeouts.

In today’s game, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (86th percentile).

Typically, batters like Josh Bell who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Over the past 14 days, Josh Bell’s 29% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.291) suggests that Josh Bell has experienced some positive variance this year with his .311 actual wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Bell is in the 18th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .225.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side this year. His .381 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .357.

Josh Bell’s launch angle of late (6.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 12.1° seasonal mark.

Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm’s launch angle recently (4.1° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 10.9° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has experienced some positive variance given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .275 BA is a fair amount higher than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a tough matchup today.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Over the past two weeks, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.5 mph to 87.7 mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.3) suggests that Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year with his 33.2 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Cristopher Sanchez’s overall pitching skill is in the 89th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .309, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .328 this year.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.6-mph in the last two weeks.

When estimating his home run talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

19% of the time that Johan Rojas has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Johan Rojas meets a tough challenge today.

Johan Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott today.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86-mph in the past 14 days.

With a 10.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott grades out in the 16th percentile for power.

Checking in at the 17th percentile, Bryson Stott sports a .260 BABIP this year.

Eugenio Suarez has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Brandon Marsh has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the last 7 days.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 47.9% on the season to 30% in the past week.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Bryce Harper’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, putting up a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .043 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Merrill Kelly to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.

Projected catcher Jose Herrera projects as a horrible pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).