Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Arizona Game 3 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s game.

By putting up a .379 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryce Harper has performed in the 94th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (14.5°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° figure last season.

Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 15.8% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryson Stott has suffered from bad luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for left-handed BABIP.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

Geraldo Perdomo has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.7) may lead us to conclude that Geraldo Perdomo has had some very poor luck this year with his 3.0 actual HR/600.

Jose Herrera is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jose Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jose Herrera’s ability is quite good, putting up a 2.15 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .302 rate is a fair amount lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 80th percentile, Geraldo Perdomo has posted a .268 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 18.6%.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 46% on the season to 59% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Trea Turner has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Over the last week, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

Recording 95.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Aaron Nola places in the 91st percentile.

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup today (.306 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .328 wOBA this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.9% to 20.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.

Kyle Schwarber has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 37.9% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zac Gallen in the 83rd percentile among all starters in the league.

Zac Gallen has averaged 97.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Zac Gallen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Zac Gallen’s curveball usage has risen by 5.1% from last season to this one (22.7% to 27.8%) .

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Aaron Nola in the 89th percentile among all SPs in the game.

Aaron Nola’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2351 rpm) has been significantly better than than his seasonal rate (2287 rpm).

Aaron Nola has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.47 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.44 — a 0.97 K/9 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, Alec Bohm ranks in the 89th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .352.

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy’s launch angle in recent games (23.8° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 12.5° seasonal mark.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 18.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

By putting up a .471 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 85th percentile.

Eugenio Suarez’s launch angle recently (30.2° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 18.9° seasonal figure.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 18.7° mark in the last two weeks.

Saturday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs D-Backs Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the worst venue in baseball for lefty home runs.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Chase Field.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the lowest humidity on the schedule today at 31%.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 2.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 9%.

Using Statcast data, Corbin Carroll is in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .226.

Corbin Carroll has put up a .241 BABIP this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Aaron Nola in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Herrera in the 1st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jose Herrera has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Herrera will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Aaron Nola in this game.

In today’s game, Jose Herrera is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (79th percentile).

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Realmuto today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .384 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .356 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone today.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field ranks as the #2 park in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Aaron Nola encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage over Eugenio Suarez today.

Eugenio Suarez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Johan Rojas in today’s matchup.

Josh Bell’s launch angle recently (5.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

Josh Bell has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is quite a bit higher than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, Josh Bell is in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .227.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Bell has had positive variance on his side this year. His 22.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.7.

This year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive talent to be a .348, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .047 deviation between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a horrible pitch framer.

Chase Field ranks as the #22 stadium in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zac Gallen in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 88.5-mph EV last season has decreased to 86-mph.

Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, putting up a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .047 disparity.

By putting up a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Corbin Carroll is positioned in the 24th percentile.