Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Atlanta Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Adam Duvall will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Adam Duvall usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.

Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Projected catcher Garrett Stubbs grades out as a horrible pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #5 venue in the majors for boosting base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

David Dahl will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage today.

In the last two weeks, David Dahl has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 34.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 25.4°.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Ranger Suarez has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Kody Clemens has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph average.

Alec Bohm’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The Atlanta Braves have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Adam Duvall, Luke Williams, Jarred Kelenic).

Philadelphia ranks as the #2 squad in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (44.9% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to last season, Nick Castellanos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15% to 19.4% this season.

Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 1.8°, Johan Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly lately (-4° in the past 14 days).

Johan Rojas has been unlucky this year, putting up a .245 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .277 — a .032 difference.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this year (13.8°) is considerably better than his 9.9° angle last year.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Garrett Stubbs’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 14.5% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.

Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.

In his previous GS, Spencer Schwellenbach was in good form and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Out of all starters, Spencer Schwellenbach’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph ranks in the 90th percentile this year.

Spencer Schwellenbach’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (69.2% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as MLB’s 18th-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Alec Bohm has been hot lately, cracking 4 homers in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Last year, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.9°.

Austin Riley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs Braves Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Adam Duvall’s launch angle this season (22.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 28.5° mark last year.

Adam Duvall has compiled a .244 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kody Clemens is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kody Clemens in today’s game.

Kody Clemens has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Kody Clemens’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 40% on the season to 27.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Stubbs in the 2nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Garrett Stubbs is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Garrett Stubbs today.

Over the last 14 days, Garrett Stubbs’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 83.7 mph to 79.4 mph.

Garrett Stubbs has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 5.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Today, Bryson Stott is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42.3% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott today.

Over the last two weeks, Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.9 mph to 80.6 mph.

Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (-0.4° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.3° seasonal mark.

Posting a 8.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott grades out in the 14th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ranger Suarez in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tripp Gibson) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The 3rd-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Ranger Suarez has put up a 2.89 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Ranger Suarez has notched a 4.46 K/BB rate this year.

David Dahl is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

David Dahl will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

David Dahl has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

David Dahl has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the past week.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner today.

In the past 7 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.8 mph to 88.9 mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) suggests that Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year with his .340 actual batting average.

Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) in the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Ranger Suarez throws from, Matt Olson will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Matt Olson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Olson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82-mph in the last week.

Sean Murphy’s launch angle this year (6.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 13° figure last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.261) implies that Sean Murphy has had some very good luck this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

In today’s game, Ozzie Albies is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.6% rate (98th percentile).

Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.6-mph EV last season has fallen to 89.7-mph.

Ozzie Albies has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .257 BA is inflated compared to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last week, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.5%.

As it relates to his home runs, Brandon Marsh has been lucky this year. His 17.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.5.

Ranking in the 19th percentile for power, Ozzie Albies has averaged 9.7 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Kody Clemens’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 17.5% on the season to 9.1% in the past week.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kody Clemens has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .262.

Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Over the past week, Alec Bohm’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.5%.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Ranger Suarez (51.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Atlanta’s projected lineup.

Ranger Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Spencer Schwellenbach’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 82nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

The underlying talent of the Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order today (.305 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly worse than their .325 wOBA this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Adam Duvall has posted a .174 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Rojas in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Johan Rojas today.

Over the last week, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 85.5 mph to 82.4 mph.

Ranger Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Jarred Kelenic in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.315) implies that Jarred Kelenic has experienced some positive variance this year with his .331 actual wOBA.

With a 4.61 K/BB rate this year, Jarred Kelenic has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 10th percentile.

Orlando Arcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.2-mph in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Bryson Stott ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.189) provides evidence that Garrett Stubbs has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.

Jarred Kelenic has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .277 mark is quite a bit higher than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 83 pitches in this game (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Spencer Schwellenbach has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.09 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.44 — a 0.66 K/9 deviation.

In today’s game, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (86th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive skill to be a .344, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 86.8-mph.

Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been very fortunate given the .017 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

In the last week’s worth of games, Alec Bohm’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Trea Turner’s launch angle in recent games (2.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .377 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

By putting up a .295 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Adam Duvall is ranked in the 8th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

In the past 14 days, Orlando Arcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°.

Bryson Stott has put up a .266 BABIP this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.