
BAL @ DET


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Saturday, April 26th
26/04/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Tigers Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.
Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.8% to 21.3%.
As it relates to his batting average, Jordan Westburg has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .253 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .300.
Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Jordan Westburg’s launch angle lately (18.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.4° seasonal angle.
Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge today.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Trey Sweeney’s launch angle lately (8.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly higher than his 1.5° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, Heston Kjerstad has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.6% to 26.3%.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Heston Kjerstad ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand today.
Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .264 figure is quite a bit lower than his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 8th-best stadium in the majors for walks.
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Young today.
The Detroit Tigers have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Justyn-Henry Malloy, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).
Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in today’s matchup.
In the past week, Cedric Mullins’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Extreme flyball bats like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Young.
Javier Baez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .233 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .270.
Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 18.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The Baltimore Orioles projected offense ranks as the 4th-best of the day in terms of overall offensive ability.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the game’s 9th-best home run hitter.
Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Tyler O’Neill has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 96.5-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage today.
Dillon Dingler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.7-mph.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21° figure in the past week.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Last season, Adley Rutschman had an average launch angle of 14.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.2°.
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today’s game.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Young in today’s matchup.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Tigers
Jordan Westburg is penciled in 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
The #7 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Comerica Park.
The weather report expects temperatures in this game to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 52°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jordan Westburg meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Comerica Park projects as the #21 park in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Comerica Park grades out as the #24 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Trey Sweeney is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
The #10 ballpark in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
The #7 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Heston Kjerstad has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 24% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Today, Heston Kjerstad is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (93rd percentile).
Jackson Holliday is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Jackson Holliday has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
Extreme groundball batters like Jackson Holliday generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.
The Detroit Tigers have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,Brandon Young is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #25 HR venue in the majors today.
Detroit Tigers hitters collectively rank near the cellar of the majors this year ( 3rd-worst) as it relates to their 88.3-mph average exit velocity.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Young is projected to throw 81 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.
Comerica Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cedric Mullins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.
Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Cedric Mullins has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 16.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Javier Baez ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Casey Mize will hold that advantage today.
In his last outing, Casey Mize performed well and conceded 0 ER.
Casey Mize has relied on his change-up 6% more often this season (24.1%) than he did last year (18.1%).
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Casey Mize in the 17th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
Casey Mize has averaged 82.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Ryan O’Hearn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Casey Mize will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Tyler O’Neill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (85th percentile).
Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Gleyber Torres faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Gleyber Torres has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 11.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gleyber Torres has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .259 mark is inflated compared to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brandon Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today’s game.
Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, batters like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brandon Young.
Riley Greene has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 9.7%.
Riley Greene’s launch angle in recent games (2.2° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 10.4° seasonal figure.
Dillon Dingler is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Brandon Young will hold the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler in today’s matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his worse side against Casey Mize today.
In today’s matchup, Adley Rutschman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman today.
In today’s game, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (79th percentile).
Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.2) suggests that Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 29.5 actual HR/600.
Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 9.1%.
This year, Kerry Carpenter has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Kerry Carpenter has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 13.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.
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