Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Baltimore at New York Matchup Today

Ryan Mountcastle’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.

The weather report forecasts the most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Eloy Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s matchup.

Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Eloy Jimenez has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 10.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 19.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colton Cowser is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Colton Cowser has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jose Iglesias will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his strong side against David Peterson in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson.

Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Colton Cowser has had some very poor luck this year. His .333 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for strikeouts.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a significant edge over groundball hitters, David Peterson and his 49.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position today squaring off against 3 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and David Peterson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.

Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Among all starting pitchers, Trevor Rogers’s fastball spin rate of 2434 rpm ranks in the 84th percentile this year.

When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today.

Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Mark Vientos will have the upper hand today.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Mark Vientos has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Rogers has a pitch-to-contact profile (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, J.D. Martinez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his home run talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The New York Mets have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his home run ability, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 13.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 21.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Monday player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Mets Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.

Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.

Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ryan Mountcastle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

In the last two weeks, Ryan Mountcastle’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.9 mph to 79.9 mph.

Eloy Jimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

The #10 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Extreme groundball batters like Eloy Jimenez generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eloy Jimenez today.

Colton Cowser is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Colton Cowser will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colton Cowser today.

In the last 14 days, Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 17.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

In the past two weeks, Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 82.3 mph to 77.3 mph.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jose Iglesias’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.2°.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

In the past 14 days, Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90 mph to 81.6 mph.

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Jackson Holliday will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Jackson Holliday who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander today.

Anthony Santander has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 42.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 35.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field projects as the #21 ballpark in the league for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

David Peterson has gone to his sinker 6.1% more often this year (30.7%) than he did last year (24.6%).

Among all starters, David Peterson’s fastball spin rate of 2135 rpm ranks in the 21st percentile this year.

David Peterson has posted an 18.1% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 18th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Tyrone Taylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Trevor Rogers in the 25th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the New York Mets with a 21.2% underlying K%.

With 8 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Trevor Rogers will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Francisco Alvarez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

Over the past 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 88.9 mph to 83.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in the league for righty batting average.

Jose Iglesias has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the past two weeks.

Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.9-mph EV last year has fallen to 92.9-mph.

Mark Vientos has been lucky this year, compiling a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .057 difference.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Over the past two weeks, Harrison Bader’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

In the past week, Harrison Bader’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 89.1 mph to 80.7 mph.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

David Peterson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

Over the past week, Gunnar Henderson’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.9-mph EV last season has fallen to 94.4-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Anthony Santander has experienced some positive variance this year with his .354 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Trevor Rogers’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 19th percentile out of all starters in MLB right now.

Trevor Rogers has recorded 15 outs per start this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in the majors for LHB batting average.