Orioles @ Marlins Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Taylor Ward is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

,Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 43.6% to 49%.

,Taylor Ward has paced 26.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,With a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jakob Marsee finds himself in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.

,Taylor Ward has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 0.82 K/BB rate.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Eury Perez in today’s game.

,Leody Taveras’s launch angle recently (24.9° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 19.3° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 12th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Young in today’s matchup.

,Owen Caissie hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Owen Caissie will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,LoanDepot Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

,Connor Norby has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 22.5°, Graham Pauley has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 46° mark in the past week.

,Graham Pauley has been unlucky this year, notching a .232 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .061 gap.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for LHB base hits.

,Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this year (17.2°) is a significant increase over his 13.3° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Liam Hicks is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Liam Hicks hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Joe Mack will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Young today.

,Joe Mack will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Owen Caissie’s true offensive talent to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .050 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .247 wOBA.

,The Miami Marlins projected batting order profiles as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

,It may be smart to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Alex MacKay) in charge of the strike zone today.

,LoanDepot Park profiles as the #28 field in the game for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Dylan Beavers has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 15% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Connor Norby’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph of late.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,Over the last 7 days, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 26.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gunnar Henderson’s 51.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

,Adley Rutschman has been hot lately, whalloping 4 homers in the past two weeks.

,In comparison to his 88.5-mph average last year, Otto Lopez’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.5 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Coby Mayo has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.6-mph.

,Coby Mayo’s launch angle recently (34° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 17.2° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Coby Mayo’s true offensive talent to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .071 difference between that figure and his actual .239 wOBA.

,When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 14th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Brandon Young.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 14th-best home run batter.

,Pete Alonso has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 95.3-mph average.

,Brandon Young has recorded a 5.47 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Xavier Edwards will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Xavier Edwards has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last year’s 85.6-mph figure.

,Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Owen Caissie, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers).

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Eury Perez in the 89th percentile among all starters in baseball.

,The Baltimore Orioles have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blaze Alexander, Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser).

,Given that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Eury Perez (42.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.

,Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year’s 92-mph mark.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Eury Perez’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 76th percentile among all SPs in the game right now.

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Series Game 2 Game Today

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #28 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage over Taylor Ward today.

,Today, Taylor Ward is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).

,Typically, batters like Taylor Ward who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.

,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 4th-deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

,Jakob Marsee has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last year has dropped off to 2.3% this year.

,Jakob Marsee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 9%.

,Leody Taveras is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Leody Taveras in today’s game.

,Owen Caissie is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,Owen Caissie has been pulled from the game early 27% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,In the last 14 days, Owen Caissie’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

,Connor Norby is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Connor Norby will have a tough challenge today.

,Posting a 4.23 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Connor Norby has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 15th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Graham Pauley in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Graham Pauley is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,This year, Graham Pauley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 34% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side against Eury Perez in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s 11.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.7%.

,In terms of his home runs, Liam Hicks has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 15.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.8.

,Liam Hicks has recorded a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joe Mack in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Joe Mack is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Young is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of the day.

,With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Brandon Young faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Brandon Young will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Young’s curveball utilization has fallen by 11.5% from last season to this one (15.7% to 4.2%) .

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Dylan Beavers has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Beavers tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.

,Brandon Young will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

,Otto Lopez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Otto Lopez’s launch angle from last season’s 8.4° to 5.4° this year.

,Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Otto Lopez has been lucky given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

,Hitting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Pete Alonso will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Pete Alonso has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

,In the past week, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

,Coby Mayo is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Eury Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Coby Mayo today.

,Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Beavers in today’s game.

,Typically, batters like Coby Mayo who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.

,Leody Taveras has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

,Kyle Stowers’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.9-mph in the past week.

,Kyle Stowers’s launch angle this season (6.3°) is considerably worse than his 14.2° mark last year.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Liam Hicks has experienced some positive variance given the .052 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

,Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Xavier Edwards’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.1-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards’s true offensive ability to be a .314, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .074 deviation between that mark and his actual .388 wOBA.

,Graham Pauley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

,Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the past 7 days, Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 89 mph to 86.6 mph.

,Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 48.5% on the season to 30% over the past week.

,In the last two weeks, Jakob Marsee’s 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9%.

,In his previous start, Brandon Young struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

,Eury Perez’s high utilization rate of his fastball (52.6% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Gunnar Henderson’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.5-mph in the past two weeks.

,The 4th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

,It may be wise to expect better results for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Baltimore Orioles hitters as a unit rank among the elite in MLB this year (6th-) when it comes to their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.

,Over the last 14 days, Owen Caissie’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.4 mph to 80.3 mph.

,Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last year has dropped off to 3% this season.

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