Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Baltimore at Toronto Matchup Today

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today.

Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho’s launch angle this year (26.6°) is quite a bit better than his 20.3° angle last year.

Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (23.8° over the past week) is considerably higher than his 12.5° seasonal mark.

Cedric Mullins II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.2% to 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge today.

Using Statcast metrics, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .359.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Holliday has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

Jackson Holliday has been hot lately, putting up a a 30% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.

The #10 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.9% to 23.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 15th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.

Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.

Colton Cowser has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 94.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ernie Clement has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.1-mph EV.

In terms of his home runs, Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck this year. His 13.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.4.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Davis Schneider has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27° figure over the last 7 days.

Davis Schneider has been unlucky this year, posting a .299 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .025 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Rogers Centre projects as the #10 field in the league for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.6) suggests that Davis Schneider has had bad variance on his side this year with his 17.3 actual HR/600.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman’s launch angle from last season’s 12.5° to 17.8° this season.

In the last 14 days, Adley Rutschman’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Joey Loperfido has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an advantage in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Joey Loperfido will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Grayson Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Grayson Rodriguez’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this year (95.4 mph) below where it was last year (96.8 mph).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Toronto Blue Jays has been 117.6 mph this year, making them the #5 team in baseball by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Leo Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Leo Jimenez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In the past 14 days, Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph recently.

Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 5.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 16.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

George Springer has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.

Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94-mph in the past week.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 97.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance given the .045 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

The 2nd-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Chris Bassitt will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Chris Bassitt gave up a colossal 5 earned runs in his last GS.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Chris Bassitt has compiled a 2.29 K/BB rate this year.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Anthony Santander has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this season (23.8°) is a considerable increase over his 20° angle last season.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle lately (28.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant increase over his 23.8° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, compiling a .284 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .030 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Grayson Rodriguez in the 91st percentile among all starters in MLB.

Grayson Rodriguez has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #7 park in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

By putting up a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tallying 97.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Chris Bassitt places in the 97th percentile.

Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 75th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Blue Jays Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.

The weather report predicts the best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 87.8-mph mark last season has lowered to 85.7-mph.

Cedric Mullins II’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

The #5 park in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 48.1% on the season to 25% over the past week.

Despite posting a .336 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has had some very good luck given the .017 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

17% of the time that Ryan O’Hearn has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.

Coby Mayo is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage against Coby Mayo in today’s matchup.

Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (6.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° angle last year.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colton Cowser today.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Ernie Clement today.

Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Davis Schneider has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Davis Schneider has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

Over the past week, Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93.5 mph to 88.7 mph.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Chris Bassitt today.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Joey Loperfido has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Grayson Rodriguez’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 87th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 9th-worst field in the league for batting average.

Leo Jimenez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Leo Jimenez in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Leo Jimenez’s 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 54.5%.

Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against George Springer today.

George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.6% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

When assessing his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Gunnar Henderson’s launch angle recently (4.9° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 8.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Bassitt in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 15% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Daulton Varsho’s launch angle lately (23.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 26.6° seasonal figure.

By putting up a .281 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Daulton Varsho has performed in the 15th percentile for offensive skills.

Given the 0.13 disparity between Grayson Rodriguez’s 10.03 K/9 and his 9.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in future games.

Anthony Santander has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 41.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 35.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive ability to be a .364, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .400 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Santander’s true offensive skill to be a .340, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .015 difference between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.6°, Ernie Clement has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.3°) over the past 14 days.

Spencer Horwitz’s launch angle recently (8.6° over the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.4° seasonal figure.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Spencer Horwitz has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.5 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Given the 0.04 gap between Chris Bassitt’s 8.41 K/9 and his 8.38 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.

Placing in the 8th percentile, Chris Bassitt compiled an 8.1% Swinging Strike% this year.

Cedric Mullins II has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.