Todays Game 4 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Washington at Philadelphia Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league’s 2nd-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

The #6 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

In the last week’s worth of games, Andres Chaparro has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .375.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Luis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 11th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Luis Garcia’s launch angle this year (8.7°) is considerably better than his 4.5° figure last year.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today’s game.

Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 90.2-mph in recent games.

Jacob Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 89-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 85-mph.

In notching a .323 BABIP this year, Jacob Young is ranked in the 81st percentile.

Alex Call is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

In the last week’s worth of games, Alex Call’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 87.9 mph to 82.2 mph.

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today.

In the past two weeks, Johan Rojas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 6.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 1.5°.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Taijuan Walker today.

Recording 94.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jake Irvin checks in at the 89th percentile.

Jake Irvin’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (44.3% vs. 35.4% last season) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Jake Irvin’s 2386-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 75th percentile among all starters.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today’s game.

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today’s game.

Jose Tena has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 11th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last week, Jose Tena has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this season (20.2°) is significantly better than his 15.1° mark last season.

Juan Yepez pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ranking in the 84th percentile, Juan Yepez has notched a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Juan Yepez has posted a .294 batting average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Call’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Taijuan Walker will hold that advantage today.

Taijuan Walker’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2008 rpm) has been significantly higher than than his seasonal rate (1931 rpm).

Taijuan Walker has utilized his slider 7.6% more often this year (10.4%) than he did last season (2.8%).

Bryce Harper may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Chaparro has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.9-mph on his flyballs in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is deflated compared to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Young’s launch angle lately (7.4° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 4.2° seasonal angle.

With a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Juan Yepez has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

James Wood has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 11th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Sunday Game 4 player match stat slumps with Nationals vs Phillies Matchup

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side this year. His 32.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.8.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Andres Chaparro today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andres Chaparro in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #7 venue in the league for suppressing base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Garcia in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Luis Garcia’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 43.8% on the season to 20% in the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) may lead us to conclude that Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year with his .251 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, compiling a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .027 difference.

By putting up a 10.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott is positioned in the 16th percentile for power.

In notching a .256 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott grades out in the 13th percentile.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°, James Wood’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly recently (-0.6° in the past 14 days).

Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes James Wood has been very fortunate given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Over the past 7 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 94.4 mph to 89.1 mph.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 13.6% on the season to 6.3% over the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.0) may lead us to conclude that Bryce Harper has been very fortunate this year with his 33.1 actual HR/600.

When it comes to his home run ability, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Johan Rojas will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Johan Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 46.5% to 34.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jacob Young meets a tough challenge today.

Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Taijuan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Call in today’s game.

Alex Call will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Alex Call’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.1% to 8.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits.

CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

In the last week, CJ Abrams’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 79.4 mph.

CJ Abrams’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 13.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last week’s worth of games, Alex Call has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s matchup.

Keibert Ruiz has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph dropping to 82-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.9-mph figure last season has fallen to 86.9-mph.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Irvin today.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brandon Marsh has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.7%.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.6°, Nick Castellanos’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (6.1° in the past 14 days).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Bryson Stott has compiled a .169 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Tena is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Tena today.

Based on Statcast data, Jose Tena ranks in the 9th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .238.

By putting up a 2.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Tena is positioned in the 8th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia’s true offensive talent to be a .316, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .020 disparity between that mark and his actual .336 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.8) implies that Brandon Marsh has been lucky this year with his 18.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Taijuan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Juan Yepez today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm’s launch angle of late (7.4° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taijuan Walker in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Taijuan Walker’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.5 mph this year (90.4 mph) below where it was last season (91.9 mph).

Given the 0.42 discrepancy between Taijuan Walker’s 7.58 K/9 and his 7.16 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression going forward.

Taijuan Walker has compiled a 6.7% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average, James Wood has had positive variance on his side this year. His .289 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

Johan Rojas has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the last 14 days.

Juan Yepez’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.8-mph in the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.9) suggests that Keibert Ruiz has had some very good luck this year with his 18.6 actual HR/600.