Mets vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 16th

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Mets vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 16th

NYM @ MIN

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World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 16th
16/04/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts David Festa in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

With 6 bats who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected offense, David Festa figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and David Festa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The New York Mets have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best stadium in the game for base hits.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best field in the league for run-scoring.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Francisco Lindor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 26.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 31.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 94th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 9th-best field in MLB for lefty base hits.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Griffin Canning today.

Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Willi Castro’s launch angle this season (19.9°) is a significant increase over his 13.4° mark last season.

When it comes to his home runs, Willi Castro has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 11.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against David Festa today.

Juan Soto has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .415 figure is quite a bit lower than his .444 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.2% rate last year to 17.9% this year.

This season, Brandon Nimmo has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.3 mph compared to last year’s 93.1 mph mark.

Pete Alonso projects as the 8th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 24.5% this season.

Pete Alonso has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph average.

Compared to last year, Pete Alonso has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.8% to 22.6% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league.

Target Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Ty France has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 41.6% to 53.8%.

Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The Barrel% of Harrison Bader has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 16.1% this year.

Harrison Bader’s launch angle this season (25.3°) is significantly higher than his 11.7° mark last year.

In the last 7 days, Harrison Bader’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Byron Buxton projects as the 18th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last 7 days, Byron Buxton’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 22.2%.

Byron Buxton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 108.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.

Tyrone Taylor’s launch angle this season (23.2°) is a significant increase over his 16.8° figure last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.5) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 10.9 actual HR/600.

Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .291 rate is considerably lower than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Mark Vientos has posted a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Mark Vientos has paced 29.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for power.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .323 figure is a fair amount lower than his .348 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 2.05 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.8% rate last season to 17.2% this year.

Edouard Julien has shown some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 101-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 10th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Twins Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Festa to throw 80 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Todd Tichenor grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Ryan Jeffers (the Twins’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Because flyball batters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, David Festa and his 32.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in this game matching up with 0 opposing GB bats.

The 10th-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Target Field.

The league’s 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against David Festa in this game.

Francisco Lindor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Willi Castro is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.6-mph mark last year has fallen to 81.9-mph.

In today’s game, Juan Soto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (84th percentile).

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel%; his 20% rate last year has fallen to 5.7% this season.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Brandon Nimmo sports a .268 BABIP since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage today.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Ty France will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Ty France’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 93.3 mph to 90.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harrison Bader in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Harrison Bader will be in a tough position today.

Hitting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Byron Buxton faces a tough challenge today.

Extreme groundball bats like Byron Buxton usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Tyrone Taylor will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Mark Vientos will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In today’s game, Mark Vientos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

Trevor Larnach has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Trevor Larnach has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last year has lowered to 0% this season.

Edouard Julien has been pulled from the game early 30% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Edouard Julien has compiled a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

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