Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for New York at Miami Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.

The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive skill to be a .270, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .060 difference between that mark and his actual .210 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his batting average, Otto Lopez has been unlucky this year. His .253 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .299.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for left-handed BABIP.

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Francisco Lindor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.

Batters such as Jose Iglesias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Roddery Munoz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Jose Iglesias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 84.6-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. meets a tough challenge today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Over the past week, Josh Bell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

Over the past two weeks, Josh Bell has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 26.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°.

Luis Severino has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Out of all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball velocity of 95.4 mph grades out in the 88th percentile this year.

Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In notching a .318 batting average since the start of last season, Xavier Edwards is ranked in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Posting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, J.D. Martinez finds himself in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.

With a 24.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , J.D. Martinez is ranked in the 78th percentile for power.

In notching a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, J.D. Martinez is positioned in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Roddery Munoz in the 1st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The 4th-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the New York Mets.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 field in the game for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering the 1.55 gap between Roddery Munoz’s 5.47 ERA and his 7.02 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and ought to see worse results in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Francisco Alvarez has notched a .374 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today’s matchup.

D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today’s game.

D.J. Stewart’s launch angle this season (19.5°) is quite a bit better than his 16.5° mark last year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) provides evidence that D.J. Stewart has been unlucky this year with his .294 actual wOBA.

Brandon Nimmo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.7-mph figure.

By putting up a .365 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Brandon Nimmo is ranked in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to last season, Jeff McNeil has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.7% to 15.7% this season.

When assessing his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nick Gordon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Gordon in today’s game.

Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 15.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 14th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Pete Alonso has performed at a clip of 25.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 84th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Bryan De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (18.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.3° mark last season.

In terms of power, Bryan De La Cruz has performed in the 84th percentile, having paced 25.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the past 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 39.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 50% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In terms of his home runs, Harrison Bader has experienced some negative variance this year. His 16.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.6.

In notching a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Harrison Bader finds himself in the 76th percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso has posted a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Mark Vientos has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.2-mph.

Harrison Bader has posted a .274 batting average this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.325) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

Last season, Francisco Lindor had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 19.5°.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Francisco Lindor’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

In notching a .496 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Francisco Alvarez finds himself in the 90th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.82 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects D.J. Stewart in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

D.J. Stewart’s 10.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Roddery Munoz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Out of all starters, Roddery Munoz’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph ranks in the 87th percentile this year.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

In comparison to his 90.3-mph average last year, Jesus Sanchez’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.4 mph.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Placing in the 91st percentile, Pete Alonso has notched a .342 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Jake Burger has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.2-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger’s true offensive talent to be a .326, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .045 difference between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA.

Harrison Bader’s launch angle in recent games (17° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 11.3° seasonal mark.

Over the past two weeks, Jose Iglesias has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .427.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Mets vs Marlins Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

21% of the time that Nick Fortes has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Otto Lopez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Today, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (92nd percentile).

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Roddery Munoz, Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor today.

When estimating his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jose Iglesias encounters a tough challenge today.

Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.

Today, Jake Burger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (89th percentile).

Jake Burger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 11.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #25 stadium in the league for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 4th-deepest right field fences in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 81.8-mph over the past week.

Today, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (86th percentile).

Over the last 7 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 12.5%.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Severino has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 12.6% less often this year (38.5%) than he did last year (51.1%).

Among all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Luis Severino has posted an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Luis Severino has put up a 17.7% strikeout rate this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Bryan De La Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Bell ranks in the 15th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .222.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #25 field in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage against J.D. Martinez today.

J.D. Martinez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The New York Mets have been the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Nick Fortes (the Marlins’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage today.

Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 9th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects D.J. Stewart in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

This year, D.J. Stewart has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Mark Vientos has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Vientos today.

In the last week, Mark Vientos’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

Nick Gordon is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Nick Gordon has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.9) implies that Nick Gordon has experienced some positive variance this year with his 20.6 actual HR/600.

Roddery Munoz will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso today.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Harrison Bader has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

10% of the time that Jesus Sanchez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

In today’s matchup, Jesus Sanchez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39% rate (96th percentile).

Posting a 4.6 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Jeff McNeil has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side against Christian Scott in today’s matchup.

In his previous outing, Roddery Munoz wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Iglesias in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .271 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Nick Gordon finds himself in the 9th percentile for offensive skills.

It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Luis Severino was in good form in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.