Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Miami at Philadelphia Game 2 Matchup Today

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best field in the majors for lefty home runs.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 82°.

Xavier Edwards has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 95th percentile, Xavier Edwards has put up a .378 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Derek Hill has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph.

Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.54 ft/sec this year, Derek Hill is notably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Tallying 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Tyler Phillips checks in at the 78th percentile.

The Miami Marlins projected offense ranks as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

Edwin Jimenez grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

The #9 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .253 mark is a good deal lower than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Burger, Derek Hill, Kyle Stowers).

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Tyler Phillips will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past 7 days — 108.6-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

Bryson Stott has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.7-mph over the course of the season to 88.7-mph lately.

Compared to his seasonal average of 5.5°, Johan Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 9° figure in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jonah Bride’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 2.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jake Burger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.

When estimating his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to last year, Nick Castellanos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15% to 18.6% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .231 mark is a good deal lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Tyler Phillips in today’s game.

Vidal Brujan has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Over the past 7 days, Vidal Brujan’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 10%.

Jonah Bride’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (11.6° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 7.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Edward Cabrera in the 91st percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Edward Cabrera’s change-up utilization has spiked by 6.5% from last year to this one (31.2% to 37.7%) .

Edward Cabrera’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 93rd percentile among all starters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Edward Cabrera’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 78th percentile among all starters in the game right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jake Burger has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 29.4% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Bryce Harper has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Vidal Brujan has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.7-mph in the last week.

Wednesday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Phillies Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Tyler Phillips today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Bryce Harper has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 5.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 89.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 8.8% in the past 14 days.

Bryce Harper has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 34.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 23.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Over the past week, Alec Bohm’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal average has lowered to 84.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.

Brandon Marsh’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Derek Hill is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB base hits.

Tyler Phillips will hold the platoon advantage against Derek Hill today.

Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Bryson Stott has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.5°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Sporting a 9.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott finds himself in the 15th percentile for power.

Grading out in the 14th percentile, Bryson Stott sits with a .170 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ali Sanchez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ali Sanchez is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

16% of the time that Ali Sanchez has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

There has been a significant decline in Kyle Schwarber’s launch angle from last season’s 18.9° to 15.9° this year.

Kyle Schwarber has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 32.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 28.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

19% of the time that Kyle Stowers has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Kyle Stowers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 11.1%.

Kyle Stowers’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has lowered to 77.1-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tyler Phillips in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Among all major league stadiums, Citizens Bank Park’s LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

Tyler Phillips has been one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .248 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

10% of the time that Jesus Sanchez has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The #5 field in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°, Jesus Sanchez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the past two weeks.

Sporting a 4.28 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Otto Lopez faces a tough challenge today.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tyler Phillips in the 10th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 21st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

There has been a significant decline in J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle from last year’s 16.6° to 8.8° this season.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jonah Bride ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Phillips will hold the platoon advantage over Jonah Bride in today’s matchup.

Jonah Bride will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jonah Bride’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 42.4% on the season to 25% in the past week.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Burger in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.9) provides evidence that Jake Burger has been very fortunate this year with his 32.9 actual HR/600.

Sporting a 4.8 K/BB rate this year, Jake Burger has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 10th percentile.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Alec Bohm’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°.

Tyler Phillips will have the handedness advantage over Ali Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s launch angle in recent games (4.2° over the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 14.9° seasonal angle.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 20.1% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) may lead us to conclude that Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year with his .257 actual batting average.

As it relates to his home run talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Rojas in today’s game.

Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Kyle Stowers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run skill, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vidal Brujan is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Vidal Brujan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Vidal Brujan has had some very good luck this year. His .276 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .253.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jonah Bride has had some very good luck this year. His .342 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Derek Hill’s launch angle recently (-6.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 9.6° seasonal figure.

Trea Turner’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Cabrera to throw 85 pitches today (10th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Edward Cabrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Edward Cabrera has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.06 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.15 — a 0.91 K/9 discrepancy.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Bryson Stott has posted a .258 BABIP this year.

The 4th-best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.8°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) in the last 14 days.

Trea Turner’s launch angle recently (1.6° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 11.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vidal Brujan in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.