Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Miami at New York Matchup Today

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.6-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Ali Sanchez’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ali Sanchez has had some very poor luck this year. His .179 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .237.

Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Jose Iglesias sits with a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Placing in the 98th percentile, Jose Iglesias has put up a .325 batting average this year.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

Ranking in the 88th percentile, Francisco Alvarez sits with a .342 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today’s matchup.

Jesse Winker has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jonah Bride is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Jonah Bride will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today’s game.

Jonah Bride’s launch angle lately (22.4° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.2° seasonal mark.

Emmanuel Rivera is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s game.

Emmanuel Rivera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 89.3-mph.

Kyle Stowers is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has been unlucky this year. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

As it relates to his home run talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Derek Hill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 76th percentile, Harrison Bader has posted a .267 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Roddery Munoz in the 1st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Roddery Munoz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Given the 1.1 gap between Roddery Munoz’s 5.67 ERA and his 6.76 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see negative regression in future games.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Sean Manaea.

Xavier Edwards hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Sporting a .380 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xavier Edwards finds himself in the 95th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand today.

Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.293) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year with his .248 actual wOBA.

Derek Hill has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.4-mph.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.

With a 1.24 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Citi Field projects as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Out of all starters, Roddery Munoz’s fastball velocity of 94.9 mph is in the 83rd percentile this year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz today.

Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

With 8 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Sean Manaea will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Sean Manaea has gone to his sinker 34.1% more often this season (34.8%) than he did last season (0.7%).

Among all SPs, Sean Manaea’s fastball spin rate of 2012 rpm is in the 7th percentile this year.

Jeff McNeil has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph EV.

Sean Manaea has averaged 94.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sean Manaea in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Derek Hill, Kyle Stowers, David Hensley).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ranking in the 88th percentile, Jose Iglesias has put up a .475 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Friday player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Mets Matchup

The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

This contest is predicted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Hitting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Mark Vientos will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has been lucky given the .049 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ali Sanchez ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ali Sanchez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #8 field in the league for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage against Francisco Alvarez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

In the past 14 days, Jesse Winker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 9.3%.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Bride in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jonah Bride has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 29% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

27% of the time that Emmanuel Rivera has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Emmanuel Rivera today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 20th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Roddery Munoz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.D. Martinez today.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 94.3-mph.

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Derek Hill has been pulled from the game early 38% of the time.

Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 8th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Roddery Munoz, Francisco Lindor has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past two weeks.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage over Harrison Bader in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, The #1 park in the majors for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

With 6 bats of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Roddery Munoz should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Otto Lopez has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Roddery Munoz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.3) suggests that Pete Alonso has had some very good luck this year with his 30.1 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roddery Munoz to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (10th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In terms of his home runs, Jake Burger has had some very good luck this year. His 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.6.

Xavier Edwards has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 85-mph over the last 14 days.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Jeff McNeil has recorded a .284 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jose Iglesias will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

The worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Miami Marlins.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonah Bride in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Jake Burger’s talent is quite bad, posting a 4.63 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 11th percentile.

Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Stowers in today’s game.