Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Giants Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

When it comes to his home runs, Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year. His 10.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.4.

Eric Wagaman’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 113.5 mph this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Casey Schmitt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season’s 94.3-mph EV.

Using Statcast metrics, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .327.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Over the last week, Connor Norby’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently.

Connor Norby’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 18.4% on the season to 30% over the last week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) may lead us to conclude that Connor Norby has been unlucky this year with his 11.5 actual HR/600.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Agustin Ramirez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 14.3%.

Over the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 107.3-mph lately.

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 field in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Liam Hicks is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.6% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today’s game.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Wilmer Flores are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Wilmer Flores will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Wilmer Flores’s launch angle of late (22.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.9° seasonal mark.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Logan Webb projects as the 4th-best starter in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Logan Webb is projected to throw 99 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers today.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 park in the league for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Webb in the 86th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

When it comes to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball bats like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Willy Adames has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Otto Lopez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Last season, Otto Lopez had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 12.3°.

Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .293 rate is quite a bit lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Edward Cabrera in the 85th percentile among all SPs in the game.

Edward Cabrera’s four-seam fastball usage has fallen by 13.6% from last season to this one (27.4% to 13.8%) .

Out of all starting pitchers, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 95.8 mph ranks in the 91st percentile this year.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Heliot Ramos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Edward Cabrera in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 21.2%.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Logan Webb.

Xavier Edwards has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Christian Koss will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Christian Koss is notably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 11th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.

Dane Myers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 48.7% on the season to 60% in the last 14 days.

This year, Dane Myers has an average exit velocity of 92.1 mph, which is among the best in baseball at the 89th percentile.

Dane Myers has compiled a .366 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Dane Myers has notched a .463 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Giants Series Game 2

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

In the league, the highest average fence height are at Oracle Park.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Eric Wagaman has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Oracle Park ranks as the #28 field in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Eric Wagaman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Casey Schmitt is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Casey Schmitt will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Casey Schmitt’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 97.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 95-mph in the last 7 days.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Norby in today’s game.

Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have a disadvantage today.

Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Agustin Ramirez has compiled a .234 BABIP this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

This year, Liam Hicks has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

The #3 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Over the past week, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.6 mph to 84.4 mph.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (3.8° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 9.6° seasonal figure.

By putting up a .266 BABIP this year, Jung Hoo Lee is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

Jung Hoo Lee has averaged 8.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 9th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Wilmer Flores has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Wilmer Flores’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Mike Yastrzemski’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Among all starting pitchers, Logan Webb’s fastball spin rate of 2132 rpm is in the 15th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst venue in the majors for strikeouts.

Logan Webb has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.13 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.06 — a 1.07 K/9 gap.

Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Willy Adames will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Willy Adames’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (22.1° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 26° seasonal angle.

Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s game.

Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez today.

Typically, hitters like Otto Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

When it comes to his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

Considering that groundball batters have a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Edward Cabrera and his 46.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot today being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edward Cabrera in today’s matchup.

In his last outing, Edward Cabrera turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

Generating 14.8 outs per outing this year on average, Edward Cabrera places him the 24th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Heliot Ramos will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) implies that Heliot Ramos has had positive variance on his side this year with his .285 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 21st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Typically, hitters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.1-mph average last season has fallen to 85.1-mph.

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Stowers has been lucky given the .032 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Koss ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Koss is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Christian Koss has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.

Dane Myers is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Dane Myers will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Dane Myers usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

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