Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Miami at Houston Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The #5 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bloss today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The #5 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bloss in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 23.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jake Bloss.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s launch angle lately (34.2° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 9.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums.

Nick Fortes’s launch angle lately (23.4° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 13.3° seasonal mark.

Despite posting a .198 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .072 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

Batting from the opposite that Jake Bloss throws from, Nick Gordon will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle this season (14.1°) is considerably higher than his 9.7° mark last year.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Mauricio Dubon has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.4° figure in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Jeremy Pena’s launch angle from last season’s 5.5° to 9.1° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bryan De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 23.1%.

A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits, and Nick Gordon’s 23.8° mark (98th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Jake Meyers will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Meyers has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.

Jake Meyers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.

In the last week, Xavier Edwards’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home runs, Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance this year. His 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Over the last 7 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 14.3%.

There has been a significant improvement in Josh Bell’s launch angle from last season’s 8.7° to 12.3° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

In the past week, Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Joey Loperfido’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Jon Singleton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Roddery Munoz’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 2nd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

Larry Vanover profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

In the last 7 days, Jon Singleton’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

This season, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year’s 92.4 mph mark.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had bad variance on his side given the .058 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

John Bloss will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.

With 6 bats of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Roddery Munoz ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Roddery Munoz’s 95.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance this year with his .308 actual wOBA.

Thursday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Astros Matchup

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest average fence height among all major league parks.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.2-mph in the last week.

Minute Maid Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Roddery Munoz will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #22 venue in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #22 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Houston Astros outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Yainer Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vidal Brujan in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Vidal Brujan is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vidal Brujan today.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Nick Gordon is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Roddery Munoz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Jake Bloss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jake Meyers will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jake Bloss, By putting up a 4.03 K/BB rate this year, Bryan De La Cruz has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell today.

Jake Bloss will have the handedness advantage against Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Roddery Munoz throws from, Mauricio Dubon will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Sporting a .280 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Josh Bell finds himself in the 17th percentile for offensive ability.

Joey Loperfido is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Joey Loperfido has been pulled from the game early in 25% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

20% of the time that Jon Singleton has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

The underlying talent of the Houston Astros projected lineup today (.308 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .322 wOBA this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Houston Astros offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Nick Fortes (the Marlins’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Jake Bloss will have the handedness advantage against Nick Fortes in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vidal Brujan in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Bloss to throw 70 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Miami Marlins have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over John Bloss in today’s game.

John Bloss struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and accumulated 2 Ks.

Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Houston Astros with a 21.2% underlying K%.

Roddery Munoz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Power-wise, Jeremy Pena has performed in the 22nd percentile, having paced 10.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Jesus Sanchez has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 4.17 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nick Fortes ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).