Mariners @ Rangers 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Seattle Mariners World Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fences among all major league parks.

The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge today.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.1-mph now compared to just 91.4-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.

Josh Naylor has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.6 K/BB rate.

Josh Naylor has recorded a .286 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.

J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Jacob deGrom in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .322 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

J.P. Crawford is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19% rate since the start of last season).

Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Gilbert in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for batting average.

This year, Logan Gilbert has added a new pitch to his pitch mix (a cutter), utilizing it on 18.2% of his pitches.

When estimating his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage against Jacob deGrom in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Dominic Canzone has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob deGrom as the 19th-best pitcher in baseball currently.

Tallying 17.3 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Jacob deGrom falls in the 87th percentile.

Josh Jung’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

With a .372 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone grades out in the 96th percentile for hitting ability.

Randy Arozarena has been hot recently, putting up a 94.1-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Cole Young’s maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 111.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cole Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the majors.

Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

Evan Carter will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Evan Carter has been hot lately, putting up a 94.3-mph average exit velocity in the last week’s worth of games.

Jacob deGrom projects as the 12th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now when assessing his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jacob deGrom was in good form in his last GS and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Out of all starters, Jacob deGrom’s fastball velocity of 96.8 mph ranks in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Jacob deGrom’s 2518-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 91st percentile among all starters.

When it comes to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .264 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .333 figure is a fair amount lower than his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jacob deGrom.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) suggests that Josh Jung has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .290 actual wOBA.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Danny Jansen has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time over the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, putting up a 45° angle on such balls in the past two weeks.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 100th percentile with a 24.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

J.P. Crawford’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Posting a .298 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dominic Canzone is positioned in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 13th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his batting average, Julio Rodriguez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .261 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Over the past two weeks, Luke Raley’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 38.5% up to 38.5%.

When it comes to his home run talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his strikeout ability, Logan Gilbert projects as the 18th-best pitcher in the game right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Logan Gilbert was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and notched 7 strikeouts.

Placing in the 98th percentile, Logan Gilbert compiled a 15.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

In terms of plate discipline, Cole Young’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

Julio Rodriguez’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 115.8 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

With a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Danny Jansen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen’s 24.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 99th percentile.

Josh Smith has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time in the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Texas Rangers World Game Today

Globe Life Field ranks as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Globe Life Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 6th-deepest.

Compiling a 3.3° launch angle in the past 14 days suggests that Brandon Nimmo has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Josh Smith is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Josh Smith has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.

Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.

In the past week, Luke Raley’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 96 mph to 88.3 mph.

Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

Jacob deGrom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s game.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Wyatt Langford in today’s game.

Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 41.9% to 36%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Wyatt Langford has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 3.3° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 field in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Josh Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.P. Crawford today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

This year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 52% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Joc Pederson has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the last 7 days.

The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Texas Rangers.

The Texas Rangers have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Dominic Canzone has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.

Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jake Burger will have a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Jake Burger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (82nd percentile).

Jake Burger has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past week.

Over the past two weeks, Jake Burger has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 79.4-mph on his flyballs.

With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jacob deGrom meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Jacob deGrom has had some very good luck with his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.04 mark is significantly deflated relative to his 3.69 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Jacob deGrom has been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball on balls in play since the start of last season with a .238 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Josh Jung is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Jung has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Jung has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

Globe Life Field projects as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

There has been a significant decline in Randy Arozarena’s launch angle from last season’s 13.4° to 3.6° this season.

The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

As it relates to his home run skill, Cole Young ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

This season, there has been a decline in Corey Seager’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.29 ft/sec last year to 24.24 ft/sec currently.

Evan Carter is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Today, Evan Carter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (91st percentile).

In the past two weeks, Evan Carter has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Evan Carter’s 87.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Jacob deGrom will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Jacob deGrom will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Julio Rodriguez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Texas (#1-best on the slate today).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cal Raleigh in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Danny Jansen will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Posting a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Joc Pederson is positioned in the 6th percentile.

Logan Gilbert will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Among all SPs, Logan Gilbert’s fastball spin rate of 2113.9 rpm is in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.

Considering the 1.79 disparity between Logan Gilbert’s 11.82 K/9 and his 10.03 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see worse results in future games.

Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

In the last 7 days, Danny Jansen has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 82.7-mph on his flyballs.

Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.3-mph figure last season has dropped to 86.6-mph.

Josh Naylor’s launch angle this year (6.5°) is significantly worse than his 11.9° mark last year.

In the past 14 days, Cal Raleigh has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

When it comes to his home runs, Cal Raleigh has been lucky since the start of last season. His 48.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 42.2.

Wyatt Langford’s launch angle this season (14°) is significantly lower than his 17.8° angle last season.

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