Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Seattle at Pittsburgh Game 3 Matchup Today

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Julio Rodriguez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .055 discrepancy.

Julio Rodriguez has recorded a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 11th-best home run hitter.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 17.4% seasonal rate to 26.1% over the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year’s 89.6-mph average.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Cal Raleigh’s 34.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Jorge Polanco has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.

Jorge Polanco has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Randy Arozarena has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has had bad variance on his side given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.

Randy Arozarena has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance this year. His .291 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

Josh Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Woodford today… and even more favorably, Woodford has a large platoon split.

Josh Rojas’s launch angle in recent games (33.6° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 14.8° seasonal mark.

Josh Rojas has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 9.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 14.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Rojas has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 75th percentile with a 2.09 K/BB rate.

It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Stu Scheurwater grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Kirby in today’s matchup.

In his last GS, George Kirby conceded a monstrous 6 earned runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates collectively rank overall in the majors this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz, Jared Triolo, Michael A. Taylor).

With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, George Kirby should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

George Kirby has gone to his four-seam fastball 5.7% less often this season (33.7%) than he did last year (39.4%).

Victor Robles is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Victor Robles’s launch angle lately (28.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° seasonal figure.

When it comes to his home runs, Victor Robles has had some very poor luck this year. His 10.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.8.

Victor Robles has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is considerably lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, Victor Robles is positioned in the 85th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the league.

Over the past 7 days, Julio Rodriguez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Pirates Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs.

The league’s 6th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.

Long-balls are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks.

Jake Woodford will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Woodford’s large platoon split.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 8th-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

There has been a significant decline in Jorge Polanco’s launch angle from last year’s 21.4° to 17.1° this year.

In notching a .223 batting average this year, Jorge Polanco grades out in the 19th percentile.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.9 mph to 87.4 mph.

Considering Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Posting a .249 BABIP this year, Cal Raleigh is ranked in the 8th percentile.

Josh Rojas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby as the 16th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball right now.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park grades out as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in PNC Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-worst park in the league for strikeouts.

George Kirby has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.90 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.78 — a 0.12 K/9 gap.

Given Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Victor Robles will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

In today’s matchup, Victor Robles is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.4% rate (94th percentile).

Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Victor Robles’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Josh Rojas has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

Randy Arozarena has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks.