
SEA @ MIA






MLB Player match stats positives for Seattle at Miami Sunday Matchup
As it relates to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for LHB BABIP.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.
Mitch Haniger hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Mitch Haniger has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
Mitch Haniger has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.
Josh Rojas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Josh Rojas will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Josh Rojas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 94.7-mph over the last 7 days.
Josh Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 19.1% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Jake Burger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph average.
Compared to his seasonal average of 11.2°, Jake Burger has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.5° mark over the last 14 days.
Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park’s CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.
The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team on the slate today.
Ali Sanchez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.
Otto Lopez’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year. His .286 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Luke Raley’s BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Braxton Garrett will have the handedness advantage over Luke Raley today.
Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Luke Raley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 98.5-mph in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 10.6°, Ty France has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 45° figure in the last week’s worth of games.
This season, Mitch Garver has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.6 mph compared to last year’s 91.4 mph mark.
Mitch Garver has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.6-mph.
Mitch Garver’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (18.4°) is a significant increase over his 14.9° figure last season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.213) implies that Mitch Garver has had some very poor luck this year with his .176 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.5) implies that Mitch Haniger has experienced some negative variance this year with his 13.7 actual HR/600.
The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Bryce Miller.
Vidal Brujan will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Josh Bell’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (18.7° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 10.4° seasonal angle.
When estimating his home run skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dylan Moore has strong power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Tyler is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Moore.
The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today.
Dylan Moore has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Ty France’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Gordon has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 18th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Tyler is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.
In comparison to his 89.6-mph average last year, Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.2 mph.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.8° angle over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.
Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.
Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has had bad variance on his side given the .035 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
Nick Gordon will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Nick Gordon’s launch angle recently (24.5° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 5° seasonal angle.
Over the past 14 days, Ryan Bliss has averaged an impressive 99.5-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
The standard deviation of Ryan Bliss’s launch angle has been very consistent recently (34.4° in the last 14 days), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.
Josh Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16°) is significantly better than his 10.5° figure last season.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, J.P. Crawford will have a disadvantage today.
J.P. Crawford hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Tim Anderson will hold that advantage today.
Tim Anderson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 46.2% on the season to 62.1% over the last two weeks.
When it comes to his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luke Raley has a ton of pop (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Tyler doesn’t generate many whiffs (9th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.
Luke Raley has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.
Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Braxton Garrett will have the handedness advantage over Dominic Canzone in today’s game.
Dominic Canzone has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is quite a bit lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Utilizing Statcast data, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 86th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .339.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) suggests that Mitch Garver has had bad variance on his side this year with his .290 actual wOBA.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
This season, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year’s 92.4 mph mark.
Bryan De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (19.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.3° mark last season.
The Miami Marlins have been the unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for BABIP.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Miller today.
Bryce Miller’s 2481-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a sizeable 110-rpm fall off from last season’s 2591-rpm figure.
Dominic Canzone has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 29.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of power, Dominic Canzone finds himself in the 82nd percentile, having paced 24.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph in recent games.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Dylan Moore has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.
Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .321 mark is considerably lower than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tallying 17.7 outs per GS this year on average, Bryce Miller places in the 86th percentile.
J.P. Crawford has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past two weeks.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Tim Anderson has been unlucky this year, posting a .222 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .065 deviation.
Cal Raleigh has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .288 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Marlins Matchup for Sunday
LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field fences in the majors.
LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 82.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Mitch Haniger has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today.
Mitch Haniger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In today’s matchup, Josh Rojas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (77th percentile).
Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Rojas has had some very good luck given the .021 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.
The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Bryce Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s game.
Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ali Sanchez ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ali Sanchez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Ali Sanchez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have a disadvantage today.
Bryan De La Cruz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.0) suggests that Bryan De La Cruz has been very fortunate this year with his 24.8 actual HR/600.
Otto Lopez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Otto Lopez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.2% rate (93rd percentile).
Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 90-mph average last year has dropped to 87.9-mph.
Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.3-mph in the past two weeks.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley today.
Luke Raley has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .320 rate is a good deal higher than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ty France will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ty France in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Mitch Garver is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today’s game.
Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
In terms of plate discipline, Jesus Sanchez’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.83 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 9th percentile.
Jake Burger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 14.7% to 10.4%.
Bryan De La Cruz has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.91 K/BB rate.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vidal Brujan is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #23 stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Dylan Moore is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
In today’s game, Mitch Garver is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.2% rate (99th percentile).
In the last week, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.
Nick Gordon is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Nick Gordon has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Nick Gordon has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.
When estimating his home run skill, Josh Rojas ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cal Raleigh today.
Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today.
Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Sporting a .135 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Julio Rodriguez is positioned in the 10th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Bliss in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Ryan Bliss is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Ryan Bliss will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford has put up a .237 BABIP this year, placing in the 11th percentile.
Tim Anderson is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Tim Anderson in today’s matchup.
Tim Anderson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Luke Raley has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.21 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 15th percentile.
Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Dominic Canzone’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle this year (17.2°) is considerably lower than his 20.2° angle last year.
In his last start, Bryce Miller was firing on all cylinders and gave up 2 ER.
Bryce Miller has utilized his four-seam fastball 12% less often this season (46.5%) than he did last season (58.5%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mariners vs Marlins Match Player Stats Sunday June 23rd Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
Mariners vs Marlins match player stats Sunday, June 23rd pre matchup. Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins player predictions
