
SEA @ LAA






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 13th
13/07/24 21:38:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Seattle at Los Angeles Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
The #7 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Ty France’s launch angle recently (20.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.6° seasonal mark.
Ty France’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16°) is a considerable increase over his 11.2° figure last year.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Angel Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.
Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.310) implies that Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year with his .267 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Luke Raley is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Anthony Rendon will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 10th-best home run hitter.
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jose Soriano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
When it comes to his home run talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mitch Garver is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.
When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Willie Calhoun is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Willie Calhoun will have an edge today.
Willie Calhoun will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an advantage today.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Schanuel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand today.
Josh Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.7%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.5) implies that Josh Rojas has suffered from bad luck this year with his 8.2 actual HR/600.
When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jo Adell has had bad variance on his side this year. His .266 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.
Anthony Rendon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 16% to 21.4%.
Over the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.8% to 21.7%.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Logan O’Hoppe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.5-mph now compared to just 89.6-mph then.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, Angel Stadium grades out as the #9 stadium in the game for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in this matchup.
Considering that groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Jose Soriano and his 51.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot today being matched up with 0 opposing GB hitters.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The Barrel% of Taylor Ward has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.3% last year to 14.6% this year.
Brandon Drury will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year with his .170 actual batting average.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
In the last week’s worth of games, Logan O’Hoppe’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%.
Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 29.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Zach Neto has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 25.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Mickey Moniak will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) implies that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year with his .212 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Mitch Garver has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last season’s 91.4-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby as the 14th-best SP in baseball right now.
George Kirby has tallied 17.6 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.295) implies that Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual wOBA.
Zach Neto and his 17.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball this year.
The Seattle Mariners have 5 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Mitch Garver, Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, Jonatan Clase).
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Jose Soriano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the past two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 107.4-mph lately.
Last season, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.5°.
Willie Calhoun will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Luke Raley has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.
Mitch Garver’s launch angle in recent games (26.9° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 15.2° seasonal angle.
Mickey Moniak’s launch angle in recent games (24.1° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side this year. His .296 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts George Kirby in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Saturday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Angels Matchup
Ty France is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Angel Stadium has the 10th-deepest left field fences in the league.
This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Ty France will have a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.
Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.
Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 12.4% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Luke Raley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.9) suggests that Luke Raley has been very fortunate this year with his 23.2 actual HR/600.
When it comes to plate discipline, Luke Raley’s talent is quite poor, posting a 9.25 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 1st percentile.
Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Anthony Rendon will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Anthony Rendon’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph in the past week.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh has compiled a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Placing in the 25th percentile, Cal Raleigh sits with a .267 BABIP this year.
Batting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Mitch Garver meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Mitch Garver will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Mitch Garver’s launch angle this season (15.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 20.3° figure last year.
Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, Mickey Moniak has been pinch hit for in 23% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
There has been a decrease in Mickey Moniak’s average exit velocity this year, from 89 mph last year to 86.8 mph now, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willie Calhoun in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Willie Calhoun has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Willie Calhoun’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.5-mph in the last 7 days.
Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Rojas in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Josh Rojas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Rojas in today’s matchup.
Josh Rojas has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.
Jo Adell is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell in today’s game.
In today’s game, Jo Adell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).
Anthony Rendon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 21.4% on the season to 11.1% in the past week.
Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Logan O’Hoppe has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Logan O’Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Logan O’Hoppe’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 94.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90-mph in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Jose Soriano’s overall pitching ability is in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in MLB right now.
It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Rob Drake) behind the plate in today’s game.
Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (51.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #9 HR venue among all major league parks — today.
George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Taylor Ward’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.6% down to 0%.
Brandon Drury is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Drury encounters a tough challenge today.
Over the last 7 days, Nolan Schanuel has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).
Josh Rojas has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the last week.
Batting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Julio Rodriguez meets a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez has posted a .156 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.
In the past week’s worth of games, Jo Adell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 7.1%.
Zach Neto is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
George Kirby will have the handedness advantage over Zach Neto today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.
J.P. Crawford has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 79.7-mph in the past week.
J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 16.8% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21% to 13.2%.
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, George Kirby will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. George Kirby has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.5% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Brandon Drury has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 83.5-mph in the past 14 days.
Jose Soriano’s high usage percentage of his fastball (57.1% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.3 K/BB rate.
Mitch Garver’s BABIP ability is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run talent, Willie Calhoun ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willie Calhoun’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 13% to 8.5%.
George Kirby has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.69 — a 0.10 K/9 disparity.
Zach Neto has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 82-mph over the last two weeks.
Logan O’Hoppe’s launch angle this year (14.3°) is significantly lower than his 19.6° figure last season.
