Guardians vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Saturday, September 20th

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CLE @ MIN

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Guardians @ Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, September 20th
Time : 20/09/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The #10 venue in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

Daniel Schneemann has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.8% rate last season to 11.9% this season.

Over the past two weeks, Daniel Schneemann’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Kyle Manzardo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year’s 92-mph EV.

Logan Allen has averaged 93.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

The Minnesota Twins have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Carson McCusker, Kody Clemens, Byron Buxton, James Outman).

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Brooks Lee will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brooks Lee has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph.

Over the past 14 days, Brooks Lee has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best venue in the game for righty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects C.J. Kayfus in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

C.J. Kayfus will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, C.J. Kayfus’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 28.6%.

C.J. Kayfus has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.

C.J. Kayfus’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 23.6% on the season to 42.9% over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.341) implies that C.J. Kayfus has suffered from bad luck this year with his .305 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Luke Keaschall will have an edge in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Keaschall ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Over the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Placing in the 95th percentile, Jose Ramirez sports a .509 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Jose Ramirez has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 98th percentile with a 1.08 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball’s 7th-best home run hitter.

Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Byron Buxton will have an edge in today’s game.

Byron Buxton has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Allen is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Byron Buxton ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.

In the last 7 days, Nolan Jones’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck this year. His .270 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.

Nolan Jones’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Hitters such as Gabriel Arias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Gabriel Arias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 16.1%.

In the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias’s 59.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

In the past 7 days, Gabriel Arias’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.3) implies that Gabriel Arias has had bad variance on his side this year with his 15.1 actual HR/600.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, C.J. Kayfus, Nolan Jones).

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Bailey Ober (43.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected batting order.

Bailey Ober will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jhonny Pereda will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jhonny Pereda will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In the past week, Jhonny Pereda’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 16.7%.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s game.

Bo Naylor’s launch angle in recent games (31.3° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 21.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.

Kody Clemens’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 16.8% on the season to 36.8% in the last 14 days.

Ranking in the 91st percentile for power, Kody Clemens has hit 31.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) provides evidence that Kody Clemens has had some very poor luck this year with his .214 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Austin Martin will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Austin Martin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Austin Martin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.3-mph average.

When it comes to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Royce Lewis will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today’s matchup.

Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Royce Lewis’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90-mph now compared to just 87.1-mph then.

In comparison to his 84.5-mph average last year, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.4 mph.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 37.7% to 46.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) provides evidence that Brayan Rocchio has been unlucky this year with his .228 actual batting average.

Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .273 figure is considerably lower than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.

In terms of plate discipline, Steven Kwan’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.03 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 99th percentile.

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Game Today

This year, Daniel Schneemann has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daniel Schneemann in today’s matchup.

Daniel Schneemann’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (5.4° over the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 15.9° seasonal angle.

Daniel Schneemann has notched a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Target Field ranks as the #23 venue in the league for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in the majors.

In today’s game, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (82nd percentile).

Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Manzardo tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Manzardo today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 94.6 mph to 88 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Allen in the 21st percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-worst venue in the game for strikeouts.

The Minnesota Twins have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Allen in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Logan Allen in today’s game.

Among every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Brooks Lee has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

C.J. Kayfus is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

25% of the time that C.J. Kayfus has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

C.J. Kayfus will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Luke Keaschall hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

In the last week, Luke Keaschall’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

Luke Keaschall’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 79.4-mph over the past two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Luke Keaschall’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Bailey Ober in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Jose Ramirez tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

In the past week, Byron Buxton’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.9% down to 0%.

Byron Buxton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 18.6% to 14.1%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Byron Buxton’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Nolan Jones is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Nolan Jones has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Jones in today’s game.

Nolan Jones’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Gabriel Arias faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gabriel Arias’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 97.5 mph to 94.5 mph.

Jhonny Pereda, the Twins’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonny Pereda in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jhonny Pereda is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Over the past week, Jhonny Pereda’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonny Pereda in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Bo Naylor has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.

Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Typically, hitters like Bo Naylor who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Ober.

Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Kody Clemens is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Logan Allen will have the handedness advantage over Kody Clemens in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Kody Clemens is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (90th percentile).

Kody Clemens’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Martin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Austin Martin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 10.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Martin’s true offensive talent to be a .313, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that mark and his actual .348 wOBA.

As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Martin ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Posting a .299 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Royce Lewis is positioned in the 21st percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

When estimating his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 14.3% on the season to 6.9% over the last two weeks.

By putting up a .272 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brayan Rocchio finds himself in the 6th percentile.

Today, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (77th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan today.

Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 82.5-mph over the last 14 days.

Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (3° in the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 11.7° seasonal figure.

This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.1 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), grading out in the 0th percentile.

When estimating his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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