Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Schneemann stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #7 field in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.229) may lead us to conclude that Dominic Canzone has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .197 actual batting average.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Dominic Canzone has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), grading out in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage today.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Manzardo has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Batters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee today.

Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today.

T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

Tanner Bibee is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in MLB in this game.

Tanner Bibee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate has dropped 122 rpm this season (2239 rpm) below where it was last year (2361 rpm).

Tanner Bibee has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.81 rate is deflated compared to his 4.96 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Compared to the average pitcher, Tanner Bibee has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.5 adjusted pitches each start.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Benjamin Williamson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Bibee who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage today.

Benjamin Williamson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 92.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Benjamin Williamson has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 3.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 10.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Carlos Santana has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Carlos Santana has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year’s 90.4-mph average.

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 16.3% this season.

Rowdy Tellez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 86th percentile for power, Jorge Polanco has paced 30 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Nolan Jones’s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Jones has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 88.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark.

Gabriel Arias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 40.9% on the season to 64.7% over the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 6.4°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18.3° angle in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.1) implies that Gabriel Arias has had bad variance on his side this year with his 10.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand today.

Bo Naylor has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Bo Naylor tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like George Kirby.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 20.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 5th-best home run batter.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, George Kirby’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starters in MLB right now.

George Kirby has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cleveland Guardians have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Gabriel Arias, Bo Naylor, Lane Thomas).

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 41.1% on the season to 55.6% over the past two weeks.

Julio Rodriguez projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Steven Kwan will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Steven Kwan may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Mariners Series Game 2

22% of the time that Daniel Schneemann has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 park in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games today.

Extreme groundball bats like Daniel Schneemann tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like George Kirby.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 venue in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Daniel Schneemann will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Dominic Canzone has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 34% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.

Dominic Canzone has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 27.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 24.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Manzardo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 88-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Cole Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Cole Young has been pinch hit for in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tanner Bibee in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Tanner Bibee didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 2 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Benjamin Williamson is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Benjamin Williamson has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against George Kirby,Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.7°, Carlos Santana has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.5°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez today.

In the past two weeks, Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90.8 mph to 86.3 mph.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 20.7°, Jose Ramirez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (12.6°) over the past two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 90.3 mph to 88.1 mph.

J.P. Crawford’s launch angle in recent games (-0.7° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 13.9° seasonal figure.

In notching a .168 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, J.P. Crawford grades out in the 21st percentile.

Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Randy Arozarena today.

Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 41% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

50% of the time that Rowdy Tellez has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.5°, Rowdy Tellez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) over the past two weeks.

Jorge Polanco has been pinch hit for 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Typically, hitters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tanner Bibee.

Jorge Polanco has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Nolan Jones is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

36% of the time that Nolan Jones has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Nolan Jones will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Gabriel Arias will have a tough matchup today.

Typically, batters like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as George Kirby.

Bo Naylor is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Naylor in today’s game.

Bo Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.2-mph in the past week.

Bo Naylor’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tanner Bibee.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (38.4) may lead us to conclude that Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck this year with his 54.2 actual HR/600.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby today.

Considering that groundball batters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, George Kirby and his 43.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in this matchup facing 3 opposing GB batters.

George Kirby gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last GS.

George Kirby’s high utilization rate of his fastball (57.6% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 94 mph to 82.1 mph.

Julio Rodriguez has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.7° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year (18th percentile).

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

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