
CLE @ MIL





Todays Game 2 Matchup Details
Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, August 17th
2024-08-17 19:15:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Milwaukee Game 2 Matchup Today
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #9 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.
Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
When assessing his home run ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #9 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Among all stadiums, American Family Field’s centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.
Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Tyler Black is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Tyler Black will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .281 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Black can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.
Sal Frelick is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Freddy Peralta’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.
Tallying 97.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Freddy Peralta ranks in the 96th percentile.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Freddy Peralta will hold that advantage today.
Will Brennan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Will Brennan is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Will Brennan will have an advantage today.
Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez’s launch angle in recent games (22.3° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 19.2° seasonal figure.
Jose Ramirez has compiled a .361 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 91st percentile.
David Fry is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
In the last two weeks, David Fry’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta in today’s matchup.
David Fry’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (25.1° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.6° seasonal mark.
Compared to his seasonal average of 21.8°, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 41.3° mark over the last week.
Rhys Hoskins and his 24.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Joey Ortiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
William Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Jhonkensy Noel has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 16.9% seasonal rate to 30% over the past 7 days.
Freddy Peralta projects as the 14th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently when estimating his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
American Family Field ranks as the #3 field in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jhonkensy Noel has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 99.5-mph.
Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season’s 91.3-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
Tallying 91.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Tanner Bibee places in the 76th percentile.
It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the majors this year.
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Joey Ortiz has notched a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Bo Naylor has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 96-mph in the past week.
Bo Naylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph EV.
Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 41.7% on the season to 60% over the last two weeks.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) may lead us to conclude that Joey Ortiz has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 85th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Brice Turang may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 76th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Brewers Matchup
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
In today’s game, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.5% rate (99th percentile).
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.
Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best of all teams today).
Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 9th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Bo Naylor is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
11% of the time that Bo Naylor has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Rhys Hoskins today.
Rhys Hoskins has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the past 7 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rhys Hoskins has been very fortunate this year. His .320 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.
When assessing his home run skill, Tyler Black ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This year, Tyler Black has been pulled from the game early in 33% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Out of every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Tyler Black is remarkably slow, ranking in the 18th percentile in Sprint Speed at 26 ft/sec this year.
Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 88.1-mph in the last 14 days.
In today’s game, Josh Naylor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.6% rate (78th percentile).
Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°, Josh Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.4°) over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez today.
Over the past week, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 81.5 mph.
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, William Contreras encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.332) may lead us to conclude that William Contreras has been lucky this year with his .354 actual wOBA.
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough challenge today.
In terms of his home runs, Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance this year. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.6.
Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Willy Adames encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Despite posting a .327 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Chourio has been very fortunate given the .015 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Sal Frelick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.
Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#2-best on the slate today).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for walks.
The Cleveland Guardians have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta in this game.
Freddy Peralta has utilized his curveball 8% less often this year (4.5%) than he did last season (12.5%).
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Brennan today.
Will Brennan has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 3.1°.
Grading out in the 11th percentile for power, Brice Turang has hit 8.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage over David Fry in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Fry in today’s game.
David Fry has been lucky this year, notching a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .042 gap.
Willy Adames has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .251 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive skill to be a .312, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .063 disparity between that figure and his actual .375 wOBA.
Freddy Peralta’s 2443-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 86th percentile out of all starters.
Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
When it comes to his home run skill, Will Brennan ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Joey Ortiz today.
Joey Ortiz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jhonkensy Noel meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Jhonkensy Noel will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19% underlying K%.
Freddy Peralta has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.90 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.63 — a 0.27 K/9 discrepancy.
Tanner Bibee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Milwaukee Brewers has been 118.1 mph this year, making them the #4 club in Major League Baseball by this metric.
In the past 14 days, Brice Turang’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.
In terms of his home runs, Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance this year. His 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.0.
Tanner Bibee has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.68 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.42 — a 0.26 K/9 disparity.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Naylor in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) implies that Bo Naylor has experienced some positive variance this year with his 18.8 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel’s true offensive ability to be a .296, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .075 gap between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.
Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 85.5-mph EV last year has fallen off to 83.4-mph.
