Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Milwaukee Matchup Today

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

This game is projected to have the most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.

Aaron Civale has relied on his cut-fastball 6.1% less often this season (31.3%) than he did last year (37.4%).

Brayan Rocchio has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 85-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Brennan is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Checking in at the 90th percentile, Jose Ramirez sits with a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Cleveland (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Williams in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Sal Frelick will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

As it relates to his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

When estimating his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Garrett Mitchell’s BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Rhys Hoskins’s launch angle in recent games (41.3° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 21.8° seasonal angle.

In the last two weeks, Brayan Rocchio’s 31.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 3rd-best field in baseball for strikeouts.

Out of all SPs, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2396 rpm ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

William Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 41.7% on the season to 60.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Gavin Williams in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

Gavin Williams’s fastball velocity has increased 1.2 mph this year (96.2 mph) over where it was last year (95 mph).

Gavin Williams’s 2327-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 109-rpm jump from last year’s 2218-rpm rate.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jhonkensy Noel has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.

In the past week, Jhonkensy Noel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.5-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Bo Naylor has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 15% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today’s game.

Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Friday player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Brewers Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Sal Frelick has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Among every team today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Sal Frelick, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

When assessing his home run talent, Brice Turang ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (2.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° mark last year.

Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 14.1% on the season to 3.4% over the past two weeks.

Checking in at the 11th percentile for power, Brice Turang has paced 8.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

It may be smart to expect worse results for the Cleveland Guardians offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

William Contreras, the Brewers’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be in a good position matching up with 7 hitters in the projected offense of the opposite hand in today’s outing.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Brayan Rocchio will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Aaron Civale in this game.

Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jake Bauers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Jake Bauers’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.2-mph over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his home run ability, Will Brennan ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a northpaw this year, Will Brennan has been pinch hit for 23% of the time.

Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Will Brennan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best of all teams on the slate).

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 15th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Garrett Mitchell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Garrett Mitchell’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (-0.2° in the last week) is significantly lower than his 8.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell’s true offensive ability to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .320 wOBA.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage against Jhonkensy Noel today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jhonkensy Noel today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel’s true offensive ability to be a .296, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .075 disparity between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today’s matchup.

William Contreras has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) implies that William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year with his .351 actual wOBA.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 84th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Gavin Williams was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and allowed 1 ER.

When it comes to his home run talent, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this year (9.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° figure last season.

Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor today.

Josh Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

Over the past 14 days, Josh Naylor’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bo Naylor has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Willy Adames has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .251 rate is a good deal higher than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past 7 days, Will Brennan’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.6 mph to 78.9 mph.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 85.5-mph average last season has dropped to 83.4-mph.

Gavin Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 14.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last two weeks, Brayan Rocchio has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.8°, Josh Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Josh Naylor has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 25.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.1-mph in the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.192) implies that Rhys Hoskins has been very fortunate this year with his .227 actual batting average.

When it comes to his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .063 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Bo Naylor has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 18.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 15.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 7th percentile, Bo Naylor has put up a .263 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Gavin Williams is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (4.7) implies that Brice Turang has been lucky this year with his 9.1 actual HR/600.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 18.4% underlying K%.

With a 0.32 gap between Aaron Civale’s 8.59 K/9 and his 8.27 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in the future.

Rhys Hoskins has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is a fair amount higher than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Williams has used his slider 15.3% less often this year (6.8%) than he did last season (22.1%).

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.1-mph in the past week.

In the last week, Jose Ramirez’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 83.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 75.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.