Guardians @ Athletics Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Darell Hernaiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sutter Health Park grades out as the #10 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The weather report calls for the most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have an edge in today’s game.

,The #10 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

,Given J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Travis Bazzana will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today… and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.

,Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today… and the cherry on top, Ginn has a large platoon split.

,Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,Because of J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Daniel Schneemann will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Daniel Schneemann has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Joey Cantillo’s overall pitching talent is in the 82nd percentile out of all starters in the majors currently.

,Compared to their .334 overall projected rate, the .314 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Athletics projected offense today suggests this version of the lineup considerably weaker than usual.

,The 6th-deepest LF fences in MLB are found in Sutter Health Park.

,In his last outing, Joey Cantillo turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

,Joey Cantillo has relied on his slider 5.1% more often this year (14.2%) than he did last year (9.1%).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Over the past week, Angel Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 33.3%.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 18.3°, Angel Martinez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.7° mark over the past 7 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, J.T. Ginn’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 79th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

,The 4th-worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

,J.T. Ginn is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #9 HR venue in the majors — in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and J.T. Ginn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Lawrence Butler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colby Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Colby Thomas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Colby Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo in today’s game.

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Hitters such as Bo Naylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like J.T. Ginn who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 11th-best batter in the game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Kurtz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Manzardo tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.

,J.T. Ginn has gone to his sinker 18.1% less often this season (31.2%) than he did last season (49.3%).

,J.T. Ginn has put up an 11.9% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage today.

,Putting up a 94.2-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days, Zack Gelof has been in great form lately.

,Lawrence Butler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .077 gap.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Colby Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Naylor’s launch angle in recent games (21.7° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 16.4° seasonal angle.

,When estimating his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Steven Kwan has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 82-mph to 84-mph in the last 14 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Cantillo today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joey Cantillo in the 89th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Colby Thomas, Lawrence Butler, Nick Kurtz).

,Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Darell Hernaiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Negatives with the Athletics Game Today

In today’s matchup, Darell Hernaiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.5% rate (99th percentile).

,Since the start of last season, Darell Hernaiz’s 2.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.

,Ranked in the 11th percentile, Darell Hernaiz’s average exit velocity of 85.1 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

,Darell Hernaiz’s 7° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the league: 13th percentile.

,Darell Hernaiz has notched a .241 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest among all major league parks.

,Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88-mph average last year has fallen to 85-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Bazzana in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Travis Bazzana is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Travis Bazzana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Zack Gelof is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Today, Zack Gelof is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (83rd percentile).

,In the past two weeks, Zack Gelof’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 6.3% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Sporting a .220 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Zack Gelof has performed in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.

,Sporting a .145 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Zack Gelof has performed in the 4th percentile.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Manzardo in today’s game.

,Kyle Manzardo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Kyle Manzardo’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.3-mph over the past week.

,When assessing his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Today, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile).

,Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 86.3-mph EV last season has fallen to 82-mph.

,Steven Kwan has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 1.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Joey Cantillo will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Kurtz in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Nick Kurtz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

,Nick Kurtz has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 40.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 30.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daniel Schneemann today.

,Despite posting a .411 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daniel Schneemann has had some very good luck given the .109 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Chase DeLauter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Chase DeLauter has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Chase DeLauter’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.1-mph in the last 7 days.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Joey Cantillo is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,The Athletics have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games,The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Angel Martinez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will bat from his worse side (0) today against J.T. Ginn… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Angel Martinez’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.9-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Ginn to throw 80 pitches today (2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wynns (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

,Sporting a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daniel Schneemann is ranked in the 20th percentile.

,Ranking in the 18th percentile, Daniel Schneemann has posted a .225 batting average since the start of last season.

,Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that Joey Cantillo throws from, Lawrence Butler will not have the upper hand today.

,Lawrence Butler has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Lawrence Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Lawrence Butler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 14.2% to 7.1%.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Colby Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

,In today’s game, Bo Naylor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 37.9% rate (76th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Naylor in today’s game.

,Bo Naylor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Nick Kurtz has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .282 rate is inflated compared to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The Cleveland Guardians (19.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate.

,The Cleveland Guardians have 9 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s matchup.

,Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 92.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the last week.

,Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.3-mph in the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.3°, Jacob Wilson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) over the past 14 days.

,Jacob Wilson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 47.6% to 40.8%.

,Jacob Wilson has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 3.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Over the last 14 days, Chase DeLauter’s 5.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

,In today’s game, Shea Langeliers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (82nd percentile).

,Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 39.5% on the season to 32.4% in the last two weeks.

,Shea Langeliers has been lucky this year, notching a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .046 deviation.

,When it comes to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 27.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.1.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.9) implies that Shea Langeliers has been lucky since the start of last season with his 36.3 actual HR/600.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Out of all starters, Joey Cantillo’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph ranks in the 9th percentile this year.

,Among all SPs, Joey Cantillo’s fastball spin rate of 1863 rpm ranks in the 1st percentile this year.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 19.4°, Shea Langeliers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11.3°) in the last 14 days.

,Bo Naylor has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84-mph over the past week.

,When estimating his home run ability, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the last week, Jacob Wilson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (4.6) suggests that Darell Hernaiz has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 7.9 actual HR/600.

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