
CLE @ ATH


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 21st
21/06/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Athletics Series Game 2 Matchup Today
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Denzel Clarke is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Denzel Clarke will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the last week, Denzel Clarke’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Despite posting a .216 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Denzel Clarke has had bad variance on his side given the .065 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.
Sutter Health Park projects as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
The #10 field in the game for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Daniel Schneemann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.
Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best field in MLB for LHB home runs.
Daniel Schneemann has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year’s 90.5-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 8th-best field in baseball for walks.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Mitch Spence (46.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in Cleveland’s projected offense.
Among all starting pitchers, Mitch Spence’s fastball velocity of 90.5 mph is in the 7th percentile since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Guardians have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Lane Thomas, Nolan Jones, Bo Naylor).
Over his last 3 games started, Mitch Spence has generated a significant increase in his fastball spin rate: from 2666 rpm over the whole season to 2736 rpm recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Max Muncy has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 14 days.
In the past 14 days, Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Spence today.
Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Manzardo usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
Kyle Manzardo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (35.6° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 26.1° seasonal mark.
As it relates to his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
In the past week, Jacob Wilson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 8.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 2.4°.
Grading out in the 95th percentile, Jacob Wilson sports a .386 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
When assessing his home run skill, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Given Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Nicholas Kurtz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Nicholas Kurtz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Nicholas Kurtz’s maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 111.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
This year, Nicholas Kurtz’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 94th percentile at 96.5 mph.
Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Carlos Santana has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.
In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.53 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Spence who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 20.2%.
Lane Thomas’s launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably higher than his 16.8° figure last season.
Despite posting a .195 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lane Thomas has been unlucky given the .116 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.
Brent Rooker will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Brent Rooker has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 21.6% over the last 14 days.
Luis Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Over the last two weeks, Luis Urias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph of late.
Luis Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 10.3% on the season to 31.3% in the past 7 days.
In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.23 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 94th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence in today’s game.
In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Nolan Jones’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.1 mph.
Nolan Jones’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (15.8°) is quite a bit better than his 7.3° figure last season.
Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 mark is quite a bit lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gabriel Arias has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.
Gabriel Arias has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph.
In the past week, Gabriel Arias’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence today.
Extreme flyball bats like Bo Naylor tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
When it comes to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Naylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
Bo Naylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Willie MacIver will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the last 14 days, Willie MacIver’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83.5-mph over the course of the season to 86.6-mph in recent games.
When assessing his home run talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today’s game… and even more favorably, Ortiz has a large platoon split.
Tyler Soderstrom will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Soderstrom has suffered from bad luck this year with his .246 actual batting average.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 81st percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.
Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (22.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12.3° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Given Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Lawrence Butler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 94.1-mph.
Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Athletics Series Game 2
Denzel Clarke is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 20%.
Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over Denzel Clarke in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ortiz’s large platoon split.
Denzel Clarke hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Denzel Clarke are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Daniel Schneemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Daniel Schneemann are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
Daniel Schneemann will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Daniel Schneemann’s launch angle this year (6.3°) is significantly lower than his 11° mark last season.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) behind the plate in this game.
In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park’s LF dimensions are the 6th-deepest.
Mitch Spence is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #8 HR venue in the league — today.
Mitch Spence will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Considering the 0.31 disparity between Mitch Spence’s 7.83 K/9 and his 7.53 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.
Given Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Max Muncy will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).
Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 10°, Max Muncy has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-largest outfield among all stadiums — generally bad for long-balls.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Manzardo in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Kyle Manzardo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.
Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.4-mph in the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Considering Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Jacob Wilson will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Wilson usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In today’s game, Nicholas Kurtz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (87th percentile).
Over the last two weeks, Nicholas Kurtz’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nicholas Kurtz has had positive variance on his side this year. His .343 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Mitch Spence,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Santana today.
Carlos Santana has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.
Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86.3-mph over the past week.
Jose Ramirez’s launch angle lately (3.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 20.8° seasonal angle.
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ortiz’s large platoon split.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 17.9% on the season to 7.1% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Luis Urias is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Because of Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Luis Urias will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Today, Luis Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.8% rate (96th percentile).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.6) provides evidence that Luis Urias has had positive variance on his side this year with his 19.3 actual HR/600.
Nolan Jones is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Jones in today’s matchup.
Nolan Jones’s launch angle recently (8° over the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 12.6° seasonal figure.
Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
Mitch Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Arias in today’s game.
Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Arias generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
When it comes to his home runs, Bo Naylor has experienced some positive variance this year. His 27.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.8.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willie MacIver ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willie MacIver is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Considering Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Willie MacIver will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
Tyler Soderstrom has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
Tyler Soderstrom hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 0%.
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.3-mph over the past two weeks.
In today’s matchup, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive ability to be a .310, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .343 wOBA.
This year, Steven Kwan’s 2.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.
As it relates to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
There has been a significant decline in Lawrence Butler’s launch angle from last year’s 11.1° to 7.8° this season.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.8°, Lawrence Butler has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) over the past 14 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lawrence Butler has had positive variance on his side this year. His .335 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.
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