Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Colorado Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense.

Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 25%.

In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Patrick Bailey’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill today.

Mike Yastrzemski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his home run ability, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Coors Field projects as the #2 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Heliot Ramos has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Ramos.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Mike Yastrzemski).

Cal Quantrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Cal Quantrill’s change-up rate has spiked by 14.1% from last year to this one (22.4% to 36.5%) .

Matt Chapman projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman’s launch angle lately (29.6° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.2° seasonal mark.

Matt Chapman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .030 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his home run ability, Michael Toglia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.1% up to 40%.

The Colorado Rockies projected offense profiles as the worst of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Harrison performed well in his previous outing and gave up 1 ER.

The Colorado Rockies have done a bad job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 11.5° figure is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year (#26 overall).

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The #2 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman today.

Hunter Goodman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brett Wisely has compiled a .277 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Elias Diaz will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Elias Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Thairo Estrada’s true offensive skill to be a .293, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 gap between that mark and his actual .263 wOBA.

Ezequiel Tovar will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jorge Soler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Harrison in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Sean Bouchard will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Sean Bouchard will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sean Bouchard’s 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

Brendan Rodgers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Sean Bouchard, Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar, Michael Toglia, Ryan McMahon).

Kyle Harrison has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.64 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.66 — a 1.02 K/9 gap.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Placing lowest in MLB this year, San Francisco Giants hitters as a unit have compiled a 9.6° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (a reliable metric to evaluate power ability).

With a 4.80 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Cal Quantrill places in the 20th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .175 actual batting average.

Heliot Ramos’s launch angle in recent games (41.7° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 9.5° seasonal figure.

Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.

Friday player match stat slumps with Giants vs Rockies Matchup

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games today at 36%.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the best among all the teams in action today.

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Michael Conforto has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 17.3% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Patrick Bailey today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive skill to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .046 difference between that mark and his actual .343 wOBA.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

23% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Mike Yastrzemski will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Heliot Ramos will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

Over the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 10.7%.

Heliot Ramos has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 88-mph in the past week.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 24th percentile among all starters in the game.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cal Quantrill is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst field in baseball for strikeouts.

Cal Quantrill has posted a 9.2% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his better side against Logan Webb today.

Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 50.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 36.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Toglia has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 16th percentile with a 4.24 K/BB rate.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Harrison is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for batting average.

The Colorado Rockies have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan McMahon has been lucky given the .030 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Michael Toglia has notched a .180 batting average this year.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Posting a .235 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman finds himself in the 15th percentile.

Hunter Goodman has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 7.34 K/BB rate.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year with his .325 actual wOBA.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s ability is quite poor, sporting an 8.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 1st percentile.

Last season, Brendan Rodgers had a launch angle of 8.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 3°.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.278) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Brendan Rodgers has posted a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

Brendan Rodgers has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 16th percentile with a 4.23 K/BB rate.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has been pinch hit for 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the past two weeks, LaMonte Wade Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90.7 mph to 85.5 mph.

LaMonte Wade Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (-1.2° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 13° seasonal figure.

Brett Wisely is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Wisely today.

Over the past two weeks, Brett Wisely’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 4.3%.

Elias Diaz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elias Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 79.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.2-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.8-mph.

Elias Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.5% to 10.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada today.

Thairo Estrada will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Mike Yastrzemski has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .323 rate is considerably higher than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Chapman has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17.2% rate last season has lowered to 11.8% this year.

Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Jorge Soler has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler today.

In the last week, Jorge Soler’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

In the past 7 days, Brenton Doyle’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive talent to be a .295, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .051 difference between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.

Sean Bouchard’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sean Bouchard is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

As it relates to his batting average, Sean Bouchard has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .228 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .203.

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Sean Bouchard sports a .197 batting average since the start of last season.

Colorado’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Heliot Ramos, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (-1.2° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 9.1° seasonal angle.

Brett Wisely’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86-mph in the last 14 days.

Last season, Patrick Bailey had a launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Hunter Goodman is in the 13th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (35.8% rate since the start of last season).

Posting a .197 BABIP since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman has performed in the 9th percentile.

In his previous start, Cal Quantrill allowed a whopping 5 earned runs.

Given the 0.67 discrepancy between Cal Quantrill’s 4.13 ERA and his 4.80 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should see worse results going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.