Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Washington Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Marco Luciano will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Marco Luciano has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Marco Luciano has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Travis Blankenhorn will have an edge today.

Travis Blankenhorn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, Travis Blankenhorn’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 88th percentile at 95.2 mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Canha is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Mark Canha’s skill is quite strong, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 80th percentile.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Patrick Bailey has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph figure.

Utilizing Statcast data, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 81st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 10th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.

James Wood is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Casey Schmitt has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.

Casey Schmitt’s launch angle this season (25.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.9° mark last season.

Casey Schmitt’s launch angle lately (29.5° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 25.4° seasonal mark.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Garcia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb as the 11th-best starter in baseball currently.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Logan Webb is projected to throw 98 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of the day.

The worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Washington Nationals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The San Francisco Giants have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jerar Encarnacion, Marco Luciano, Tyler Fitzgerald, Heliot Ramos).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Patrick Corbin will hold that advantage today.

Patrick Corbin’s sinker utilization has decreased by 7% from last season to this one (41.5% to 34.5%) .

Patrick Corbin has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.62 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.29 — a 0.67 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Patrick Corbin allowed a monstrous 10 earned runs in his last GS.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Juan Yepez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Sporting a .329 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Juan Yepez is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Juan Yepez has notched a .430 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile.

Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Alex Call’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games.

When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Call’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 96th percentile.

LaVictor Lipscomb has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.227) provides evidence that LaVictor Lipscomb has suffered from bad luck this year with his .211 actual batting average.

Luis Garcia will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Tyler Fitzgerald has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Tyler Fitzgerald will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Tyler Fitzgerald has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.9% to 21.2%.

When estimating his home run talent, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge in today’s game.

Matt Chapman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 97.8-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

With a .272 batting average since the start of last season, Juan Yepez is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage today.

Jerar Encarnacion’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jerar Encarnacion will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.

Jerar Encarnacion has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Jacob Young’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a .324 BABIP this year, Jacob Young is positioned in the 79th percentile.

Considering that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Logan Webb (56.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 4 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Marco Luciano has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87-mph figure.

Monday player match stat slumps with Giants vs Nationals Matchup

Marco Luciano is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #1 park in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marco Luciano in today’s game.

Over the past week, Marco Luciano’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Marco Luciano has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .325 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Blankenhorn in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Travis Blankenhorn is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Travis Blankenhorn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Travis Blankenhorn has posted a .238 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 9th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Blankenhorn in the 12th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Canha in today’s game.

Over the past week, Mark Canha’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91 mph to 74.2 mph.

Mark Canha’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.4% to 10.9%.

Mark Canha’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 10.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Patrick Bailey in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° angle last year.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 16% on the season to 3.1% over the past two weeks.

Despite posting a .315 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has been lucky given the .022 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Using Statcast metrics, Mark Canha is in the 14th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 9.200.

With a 12.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Patrick Bailey grades out in the 23rd percentile for power.

Typically, bats like James Wood who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Over the past 7 days, James Wood’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

James Wood has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the past 7 days.

James Wood’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 7.9% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Casey Schmitt is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Casey Schmitt has posted a .263 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to plate discipline, Casey Schmitt’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive talent to be a .312, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .022 deviation between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.

Typically, batters like Luis Garcia who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Garcia has experienced some positive variance given the .017 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Webb in today’s game.

Logan Webb has gone to his change-up 9.1% less often this year (32.5%) than he did last year (41.6%).

Among all SPs, Logan Webb’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph grades out in the 21st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 5th-worst park in the majors for strikeouts.

With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Patrick Corbin will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Patrick Corbin’s 90.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Among all SPs, Patrick Corbin’s fastball spin rate of 2125 rpm ranks in the 19th percentile this year.

The San Francisco Giants projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in baseball for base hits.

Patrick Corbin has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 5.88 rate is considerably higher than his 4.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Juan Yepez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Juan Yepez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

Juan Yepez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 84-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Juan Yepez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 10.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Juan Yepez’s true offensive talent to be a .303, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .084 gap between that figure and his actual .387 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Alex Call is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Call today.

Alex Call has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the past 7 days.

When estimating his home run talent, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LaVictor Lipscomb is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will be in a tough position today.

Typically, bats like LaVictor Lipscomb who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Luis Garcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (9.6° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 13.3° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Jacob Young will have a tough matchup today.

Typically, hitters like Jacob Young who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Tyler Fitzgerald will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.7-mph in the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .408 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Fitzgerald has been very fortunate given the .109 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) implies that Tyler Fitzgerald has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 40.4 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman today.

Matt Chapman has struggled with his Barrel%; his 17.2% rate last year has fallen to 12.2% this year.

Posting a 12.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Call grades out in the 23rd percentile for power.

Alex Call’s 88.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Juan Yepez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LaVictor Lipscomb’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.4-mph in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jerar Encarnacion is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jerar Encarnacion will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jacob Young’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 84.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Washington Nationals with a 21.2% underlying K%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°, Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (1° in the past 14 days).