Todays Game 4 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Los Angeles Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The #9 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Among all parks, Dodger Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage today.

Last season, Nick Ahmed had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.9°.

Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wilmer Flores has suffered from bad luck given the .046 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense projects as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today’s game.

Cavan Biggio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Logan Webb has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Over the last 14 days, Mike Yastrzemski has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11% to 19%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Heliot Ramos will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game.

Will Smith is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Thairo Estrada will have the handedness advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck given the .030 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb in today’s game.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jason Heyward has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 46.3% to 53.5%.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Clayton Kershaw in the 82nd percentile among all starters in the game.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Fitzgerald, Derek Hill, Heliot Ramos).

Thursday Game 4 player match stat slumps with Giants vs Dodgers Matchup

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.315) suggests that Tyler Fitzgerald has had some very good luck this year with his .418 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Ahmed ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Ahmed is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage over Nick Ahmed in today’s game.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the best among every team in action today.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nick Ahmed grades out in the 20th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilmer Flores today.

There has been a decrease in Wilmer Flores’s average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 83.6 mph now, Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Posting a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jorge Soler has performed in the 19th percentile.

Placing in the 21st percentile, Jorge Soler sports a .221 batting average this year.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.6°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) in the past two weeks.

Andy Pages is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s game.

San Francisco’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Andy Pages, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

In terms of plate discipline, Andy Pages’s ability is quite weak, posting a 4.46 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb as the 11th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.

Jacob Metz projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (56.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Cavan Biggio’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.1 mph last year to 82.3 mph now, Utilizing Statcast metrics, Cavan Biggio is in the 20th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.500.

By putting up a .128 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Cavan Biggio has performed in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Derek Hill is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Derek Hill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Given that groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Logan Webb and his 56.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot in today’s outing facing 1 opposing GB bats.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Logan Webb has relied on his change-up 9.6% less often this season (32%) than he did last season (41.6%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have a tough challenge today.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Yastrzemski today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Clayton Kershaw’s overall pitching ability is in the 94th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Clayton Kershaw will hold that advantage today.

Clayton Kershaw’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (62.9% since the start of last season) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jason Heyward’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 44% to 35.6%.

Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 25th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Thairo Estrada in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 14 days.

Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

This year, Matt Chapman’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 17.2% last year to just 11.9% this year.

Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 94.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 77-mph over the past week.

Over the last 7 days, Matt Chapman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Patrick Bailey has been lucky this year, notching a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .038 gap.

Heliot Ramos has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Heliot Ramos is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best of the day).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.3% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cavan Biggio in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team in action today.

Wilmer Flores has compiled a .261 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

Wilmer Flores has compiled a .318 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Will Smith encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Will Smith has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Will Smith’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34.4%.

Will Smith has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .265 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Thairo Estrada’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.1-mph in the past two weeks.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) suggests that Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .269 actual batting average.

Extreme groundball bats like Gavin Lux tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Gavin Lux has put up a .277 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Gavin Lux ranks in just the 12th percentile with a 7.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the game.

Gavin Lux has notched a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Last season, Jason Heyward had a launch angle of 12.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 8°.

In the last week’s worth of games, Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 96.3 mph to 90.1 mph.

Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, compiling a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .047 deviation.

Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 19.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 12.5% in the last week.

Despite posting a .427 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side given the .026 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .401.

Cavan Biggio has posted a .206 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week’s worth of games, Shohei Ohtani’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 50%.

In the last 14 days, Andy Pages’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

By putting up a .333 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Gavin Lux is ranked in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Clayton Kershaw to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.

With 9 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Clayton Kershaw will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Clayton Kershaw’s 90.1-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 9th percentile among all starters.

Nick Ahmed’s 3.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 23rd percentile this year.