MLB Player match stats positives for San Francisco at St. Louis Sunday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Brandon Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Crawford will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

In the last 7 days, Jorge Soler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 18.2%.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Dylan Carlson’s launch angle in recent games (32.3° over the past week) is considerably higher than his 15.2° seasonal mark.

Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 28.6°.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Austin Slater’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph of late.

Austin Slater’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 59.5%.

Over the last 14 days, Austin Slater’s 76.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 59.5%.

Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

Pedro Pages has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 22.6° launch angle in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the game’s 13th-best home run hitter.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Heliot Ramos’s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Over the last two weeks, Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph in recent games.

Heliot Ramos’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 50.5% on the season to 61% over the last two weeks.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 batters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in this matchup.

Because flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Logan Webb and his 56.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in today’s outing facing 0 opposing GB hitters.

Brett Wisely has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage in today’s game.

Brett Wisely hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Carlson has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .205 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an advantage in today’s game.

Trenton Brooks hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Michael Conforto’s launch angle of late (26.3° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.2° seasonal mark.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph average.

Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Matt Carpenter usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Carpenter has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 1.91 K/BB rate.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 85.5-mph.

Brett Wisely has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

In the past week, Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph in recent games.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his strikeout skill, Sonny Gray projects as the 19th-best starting pitcher in the league currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Austin Slater, Matt Chapman).

Among all starting pitchers, Sonny Gray’s fastball spin rate of 2569 rpm grades out in the 98th percentile this year.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Sonny Gray must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 60.3% of the time, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Austin Slater has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 94.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Paul Goldschmidt has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.9% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the past two weeks.

Logan Webb has been granted an above-average leash this year, throwing 7.4 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Masyn Winn has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.4° figure over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his home run skill, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Carpenter, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman).

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Batters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sonny Gray has tallied 17.6 outs per start this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 46.3% to 52.4%.

Compared to last year, Brandon Crawford has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.7% to 17.9% this season.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Giants vs Cardinals Matchup for Sunday

The #2 park in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a disadvantage today.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Thairo Estrada will have a tough matchup today.

Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thairo Estrada in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.2-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Crawford in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brandon Crawford is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

28% of the time that Brandon Crawford has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

This year, there has been a decline in Brandon Crawford’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.81 ft/sec last year to 24.61 ft/sec currently.

Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.

Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.297) implies that Jorge Soler has had positive variance on his side this year with his .313 actual wOBA.

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Logan Webb in today’s game.

In today’s game, Dylan Carlson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).

There has been a decrease in Dylan Carlson’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.4 mph last year to 84.1 mph now, Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Austin Slater has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Austin Slater has a tough challenge today.

Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages today.

Pedro Pages has been cold in recent games, struggling to the tune of a .208 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Checking in at the 10th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.33 ft/sec this year, Pedro Pages is notably slow.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 36.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 30.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 11th percentile, Nolan Gorman sports a .201 batting average this year.

Sonny Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s game.

Matt Chapman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Matt Chapman’s launch angle of late (-15.4° over the past week) is a significant dropoff from his 14.3° seasonal figure.

Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has been lucky given the .079 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb as the 10th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently.

The St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #3 field in MLB for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Busch Stadium.

Brett Wisely has been pinch hit for 13% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for lefty home runs.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brett Wisely in today’s matchup.

Brett Wisely’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 16.7% on the season to 8.3% over the last week.

Brett Wisely has posted a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile.

Luis Matos is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Luis Matos will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Luis Matos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Brandon Crawford has put up a .261 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Brandon Crawford sits with a .316 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Placing in the 8th percentile, Dylan Carlson has posted a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trenton Brooks in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Trenton Brooks is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Trenton Brooks has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 48% of the time.

Trenton Brooks will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Conforto today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Michael Conforto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.4-mph over the past week.

Patrick Bailey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has had positive variance on his side given the .061 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.1°, Heliot Ramos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Carpenter in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Matt Carpenter is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Matt Carpenter has been pinch hit for 19% of the time.

Matt Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Matt Carpenter has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.3% rate last year has dropped off to 4.4% this year.

As it relates to his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s game.

Masyn Winn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 85.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) may lead us to conclude that Brett Wisely has had positive variance on his side this year with his .326 actual wOBA.

Jorge Soler has recorded a .212 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

13% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Alec Burleson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 84-mph in the past 7 days.

In the last two weeks, Alec Burleson’s 8.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sonny Gray as the 12th-best pitcher in the league currently.

The San Francisco Giants have been the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Sonny Gray will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.

The #8 venue in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

With a 0.9 disparity between Sonny Gray’s 11.20 K/9 and his 10.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results the rest of the season.

Trenton Brooks is notably slow, grading out in the 3rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.32 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trenton Brooks in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.3° angle last season.

Alec Burleson has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.72 K/BB rate.

Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has had some very good luck given the .043 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .286.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle recently (4.5° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 12.7° seasonal angle.

Logan Webb will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Nolan Gorman has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 19th percentile with a 3.81 K/BB rate.

Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (7.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° figure last season.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial ability for batting average that Brandon Crawford has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 25th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

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Giants vs Cardinals Match Player Stats Sunday June 23rd San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
Giants vs Cardinals match player stats Sunday, June 23rd pre matchup. San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals player predictions